Del Mar, Sat Aug 29, 2026
10 races · published 11:20 AM ET · card locked
2 value plays today · 8 races we're passing
Edge of the Day
2TEST SCORE
Race 10 · 1 3/8 miles turf
37%model9/5fair3/1boardWINpaid at the close
Our biggest edge on the card today (+17 pts over the board), the price may move either way into post; you’re paid the close. Chosen by rule: the flag with the most value, graded like any other.
Today at Del MarSunny, 83°F, wind 0 to 10 mph · rain 1%, no off-track flagNWS forecast
Also on TwinSpires
Bet these plays at TwinSpiresToday’s card runs on TwinSpires as Edge Card Plays. Edge Card is an independent publication and is not a TwinSpires product; the plays and the record are the same ones published here.
Flags 2 of 10 races
New here? How to read a flag · Model, Fair, Board and the pari-mutuel closing rule, explained once.
FlagShare
1HIMARI
Model
Fair
Board
34%
2/1
9/5
our win %
break-even
the morning line
▸ WIN BET · paid at the close
Likely bet down A short board price for this track, and prices this short more often shorten by post than not. Still a win play, but expect a smaller number than the board shows, because pari-mutuel pays the close. Size it smaller.
Ranks #1 in our power figure blend. Barn angle strong here
Data · Brisnet
How it sets up
No one horse is entitled to the lead. Two have shown early speed, under the count that would rate the race contested.
The model’s read ▾
HIMARI is one of the more likely winners we flag today, and the board still prices it like a longer shot. The gap is smaller in points than some, but it is on a horse we genuinely rate to win.
It tops our own win number, 16.7 points clear of the next one.
Full field ▾
| # | Horse | Model | Fair | Board | Works |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HIMARI ◀ | 34% | 2/1 | 9/5 | •1/55·5d |
| 2 | NO CAP | 17% | 9/2 | 4/1 | 6/36·7d |
| 3 | COZY CURLIN KITTEN | 15% | 11/2 | 7/2 | 38/47·16d |
| 5 | SHARED FUTURE | 14% | 13/2 | 5/1 | 4/5·46d |
| 6 | MEDJUGORJE | 12% | 7/1 | 5/1 | 2/26·8d |
| 4 | HARMONIQUE | 8% | 12/1 | 6/1 | 3/17·7d |
FlagShare
2TEST SCORE
Model
Fair
Board
37%
9/5
3/1
our win %
break-even
the morning line
▸ WIN BET · paid at the close
Price may move A mid board price, it can hold or shorten into post. You are paid the closing price either way, so bet the horse and take the number you get.
Ranks #1 in our power figure blend.
Data · Brisnet
How it sets up
Nothing in here has a clear claim on the lead. A field this size means traffic is the risk in here, not the pace. Only one has shown genuine early speed, without enough company to rate the race contested.
The model’s read ▾
This is the widest gap on today’s card. When our number is that far clear of the board, the disagreement is the whole reason to be here.
It tops our own win number, 12.2 points clear of the next one.
Full field ▾
| # | Horse | Model | Fair | Board | Works |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | TEST SCORE ◀ | 37% | 9/5 | 3/1 | 1/3·7d |
| 4 | GOLD PHOENIX | 24% | 3/1 | 5/2 | 2/10·6d |
| 7 | ATITLAN | 8% | 12/1 | 6/1 | •1/5·4d |
| 9 | OLD PAL | 8% | 12/1 | 12/1 | 3/4·6d |
| 8 | MONDEGO | 7% | 12/1 | 6/1 | 3/15·7d |
| 10 | FLASHIEST | 4% | 25/1 | 12/1 | 13/62·13d |
| 11 | PACKS A WAHLOP | 4% | 25/1 | 10/1 | 2/35·15d |
| 5 | ATOMIC AGE | 3% | 30/1 | 20/1 | 2/10·6d |
| 3 | NITTI | 3% | 30/1 | 12/1 | 1/3·6d |
| 6 | MAAZ | 2% | 50/1 | 15/1 | 3/8·7d |
| 1 | SANTA BARBARIAN | 2% | 50/1 | 30/1 | 20/120·7d |
What to know about each race today
R25 1/2 furlongs dirtMaiden claiming $20,000
- 7Rostrondrops from $50,000 to $20,000 off a 7th · first start in 11 months · first-time Lasix
- 8Sigma Boydrops from $50,000 to $20,000 off a 5th · first start on dirt · top third of this field on dirt breeding
- 10Ride The Tigerdrops from $50,000 to $20,000 off a 5th · blinkers off
- 5Gato Voladorfirst-time Lasix
- 6Yautowndrops from $50,000 to $20,000 off a 4th
R31 mile dirtOptional claiming $50,000, non-winners of one other than maiden, claiming or starter
- 1Himarifirst start at a mile or longer · top third of this field on breeding for the trip
- 3Cozy Curlin Kittenclaimed last time out
R41 mile turfStarter allowance, $16,000 level
- 3Pacerfirst start on turf · top third of this field on turf breeding · claimed last time out
- 1Midnite Musketblinkers off
- 6Cathalblinkers on
- 7Wizard Of Westwoodclaimed last time out
R56 furlongs dirtMaiden claiming $50,000
- 1Monsieur Bigblinkers on
- 7Hit The Track Jacknew barn since the last start, now with Ruben Gomez
- 9Delaneys Dreamerblinkers off
R65 furlongs turfMaiden special weight
- 2Soo Bronxfirst start on turf · top third of this field on turf breeding
R76 furlongs dirtOptional claiming $50,000, non-winners of one other than maiden, claiming or starter
- 3Duke SilverAntonio Fresu back aboard, a winner on this horse two starts back
- 12Mega Moonclaimed last time out
R86 furlongs dirtClaiming $12,500, non-winners of two lifetime
3 of the 12 were claimed last time out
- 4Meekingblinkers off
- 5Beneficialwent off at 9/5 last time and finished 11th
- 7It's A Factorfirst start in 11 months
- 8Rockabilly Rebalnew barn since the last start, now with Alberto Ruvalcaba
- 10Amadordrops from $25,000 to $12,500 off a 6th
R97 furlongs dirtGrade 2 stakes
- 3Vodka Vodkafirst start under a mile · bottom third of this field on breeding for the trip
- 5Bartholdyclaimed last time out
- 9March Of TimeJuan J Hernandez back aboard, a winner on this horse two starts back
R101 3/8 miles turfGrade 2 stakes
- 3Nittifirst start in over a year · new barn since the last start, now with Antonio C Garcia
- 6MaazRicardo Gonzalez back aboard, a winner on this horse four starts back
Facts about the race, not predictions. A class move is shown with the finish it came off so you can judge it; we do not claim any of these wins, and only the flagged win bets above are graded on the record.
The whole card every runner, our number beside the board
| R | # | Horse | Model | Fair | Board | Edge | Rank | Why | Works |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R16 furlongs dirtMaiden special weightEven pacepass | |||||||||
| R1 | 1 | ALA SAWAB | 36% | 9/5 | 6/5 | 0 | W | •1/44·12d | |
| R1 | 3 | RICCELLI | 29% | 5/2 | 9/5 | 0 | W | 5/105·13d | |
| R1 | 2 | EMANCIPATE | 22% | 7/2 | 3/1 | +2 | 1 | W | 3/80·5d |
| R1 | 5 | BID | 7% | 15/1 | 8/1 | -2 | 2 | 1/3·21d | |
| R1 | 4 | GALLANT JACK | 6% | 15/1 | 12/1 | 0 | W | 2/55·5d | |
| R25 1/2 furlongs dirtMaiden claiming $20,000Even pacepass | |||||||||
| R2 | 2 | CAROLINA LEGACY | 21% | 4/1 | 5/2 | -2 | 1 | 14/95·13d | |
| R2 | 10 | RIDE THE TIGER | 18% | 9/2 | 4/1 | +2 | 2 | 8/48·7d | |
| R2 | 6 | YAUTOWN | 17% | 5/1 | 7/2 | -1 | 3 | •1/5·2d | |
| R2 | 4 | SEAVER WAY | 11% | 15/2 | 8/1 | +3 | 4 | 4/12·26d | |
| R2 | 7 | ROSTRON | 8% | 12/1 | 12/1 | +2 | 5 | 7/12·6d | |
| R2 | 8 | SIGMA BOY | 7% | 12/1 | 6/1 | -4 | 6 | W | 4/42·5d |
| R2 | 3 | RED HOT LEAD | 6% | 15/1 | 12/1 | 0 | 13/27·6d | ||
| R2 | 9 | MARION MAGIC | 6% | 15/1 | 12/1 | 0 | 17/45·13d | ||
| R2 | 5 | GATO VOLADOR | 3% | 30/1 | 20/1 | 0 | 7 | B | 2/18·14d |
| R2 | 1 | MY MAN HUEY | 2% | 50/1 | 30/1 | 0 | 8 | BW | •1/72·5d |
| R31 mile dirtOptional claiming $50,000, non-winners of one other than maiden, claiming or starterEven pace1 flag | |||||||||
| R3 | 1 | HIMARI | 34% | 2/1 | 9/5 | +6 | 1 | BW | •1/55·5d |
| R3 | 2 | NO CAP | 17% | 9/2 | 4/1 | +2 | 2 | 6/36·7d | |
| R3 | 3 | COZY CURLIN KITTEN | 15% | 11/2 | 7/2 | -3 | 4 | BW | 38/47·16d |
| R3 | 5 | SHARED FUTURE | 14% | 13/2 | 5/1 | 0 | 3 | BW | 4/5·46d |
| R3 | 6 | MEDJUGORJE | 12% | 7/1 | 5/1 | -1 | 5 | W | 2/26·8d |
| R3 | 4 | HARMONIQUE | 8% | 12/1 | 6/1 | -4 | 6 | B | 3/17·7d |
| R41 mile turfStarter allowance, $16,000 levelContested pace likely (3 early-speed types)pass | |||||||||
| R4 | 8 | GRANDISIMO | 20% | 4/1 | 7/2 | +2 | 1 | ▲BW | 3/3·35d |
| R4 | 4 | GOLD FOOT | 19% | 4/1 | 3/1 | -1 | 2 | 2/58·49d | |
| R4 | 2 | CAISSON | 17% | 5/1 | 7/2 | -1 | 3 | B | 20/45·9d |
| R4 | 5 | DRUIDIC | 12% | 7/1 | 6/1 | +1 | 4 | ▲B | 27/54·12d |
| R4 | 7 | WIZARD OF WESTWOOD | 12% | 15/2 | 5/1 | -2 | 5 | B | 7/37·28d |
| R4 | 3 | PACER | 10% | 9/1 | 8/1 | +1 | 6 | ▲W | 2/21·7d |
| R4 | 1 | MIDNITE MUSKET | 6% | 15/1 | 12/1 | 0 | 7 | 1/3·9d | |
| R4 | 6 | CATHAL | 5% | 20/1 | 15/1 | 0 | 8 | 2/4·21d | |
| R56 furlongs dirtMaiden claiming $50,000Contested pace likely (4 early-speed types)pass | |||||||||
| R5 | 12 | DE FACTO | 14% | 13/2 | 7/2 | -3 | 5 | ▲W | 6/89·7d |
| R5 | 4 | PROOF HE GOES | 12% | 15/2 | 5/1 | -1 | 1 | ▼W | •1/10·17d |
| R5 | 1 | MONSIEUR BIG | 11% | 8/1 | 8/1 | +2 | 2 | W | 3/113·7d |
| R5 | 10 | POSITIVE TIMES | 10% | 9/1 | 5/1 | -3 | 4 | ▼W | •1/15·15d |
| R5 | 7 | HIT THE TRACK JACK | 9% | 10/1 | 6/1 | -2 | 3 | ▼B | 2/11·7d |
| R5 | 5 | BAD UNCLE ERNIE | 9% | 10/1 | 8/1 | 0 | B | 1/1·10d | |
| R5 | 9 | DELANEYS DREAMER | 8% | 11/1 | 8/1 | 0 | 6 | ▼W | 6/103·21d |
| R5 | 6 | DADDYS STAR | 8% | 12/1 | 10/1 | +1 | 9 | ▲ | 36/64·7d |
| R5 | 8 | STILL BULLETPROOF | 7% | 15/1 | 20/1 | +3 | 8 | ▲B | 11/14·6d |
| R5 | 2 | HE'S PROOF OF JOY | 7% | 15/1 | 20/1 | +3 | 7 | 52/138·41d | |
| R5 | 3 | QUALITY GOLD | 5% | 20/1 | 20/1 | +1 | 10 | B | 1/1·7d |
| R5 | 11 | FASTTRAINTOJERSEY | 2% | 50/1 | 30/1 | -1 | 11 | W | •1/10·13d |
| R65 furlongs turfMaiden special weightEven pacepass | |||||||||
| R6 | 10 | SEAMLESS FACTOR | 20% | 4/1 | 3/1 | 0 | BW | 2/48·8d | |
| R6 | 6 | PETITE MARIE | 18% | 9/2 | 7/2 | +1 | 1 | 5/42·4d | |
| R6 | 4 | SAVVY TIGER | 13% | 13/2 | 5/1 | 0 | 1/1·12d | ||
| R6 | 8 | HAPPY HEATWAVE | 12% | 7/1 | 5/1 | -1 | 2 | 3/19·33d | |
| R6 | 1 | GRAZED IN A HAZE | 11% | 8/1 | 6/1 | 0 | W | 3/58·8d | |
| R6 | 7 | HEAVENLY PRAYER | 9% | 11/1 | 8/1 | 0 | W | •1/14·9d | |
| R6 | 5 | MAIN IMPACT | 6% | 15/1 | 12/1 | 0 | 3/5·8d | ||
| R6 | 9 | MAMA LOVES VEGAS | 5% | 15/1 | 15/1 | +1 | 3 | 7/26·7d | |
| R6 | 3 | CADEN'S GAL | 4% | 20/1 | 20/1 | +1 | 4 | B | 25/38·7d |
| R6 | 2 | SOO BRONX | 1% | 99/1 | 30/1 | -1 | 5 | •1/10·29d | |
| R76 furlongs dirtOptional claiming $50,000, non-winners of one other than maiden, claiming or starterContested pace likely (4 early-speed types)pass | |||||||||
| R7 | 8 | MATT AT FIVE | 16% | 11/2 | 5/1 | +3 | 1 | ▼W | •1/93·5d |
| R7 | 6 | SEPTEMBERSIXTYFOUR | 13% | 7/1 | 7/2 | -5 | 3 | W | 4/86·7d |
| R7 | 10 | HE'S A KNOCKOUT | 12% | 15/2 | 6/1 | +1 | 2 | ▼ | 4/35·8d |
| R7 | 12 | MEGA MOON | 12% | 15/2 | 5/1 | -2 | 7 | ▲ | 2/65·23d |
| R7 | 4 | SIR ROCKET | 10% | 9/1 | 6/1 | -1 | 5 | B | 2/4·5d |
| R7 | 5 | UNCLE CHILLY | 9% | 10/1 | 8/1 | 0 | 10 | ▲BW | 2/58·5d |
| R7 | 9 | ROSCOE'S BROTHER | 9% | 10/1 | 8/1 | 0 | 4 | ▼W | 2/87·13d |
| R7 | 3 | DUKE SILVER | 8% | 12/1 | 10/1 | +1 | 6 | ▼W | 2/87·7d |
| R7 | 2 | THIRSTY REBEL | 7% | 12/1 | 12/1 | +1 | 8 | ▼ | 17/65·13d |
| R7 | 1 | MO KOKO | 6% | 15/1 | 20/1 | +2 | 9 | W | •1/64·7d |
| R86 furlongs dirtClaiming $12,500, non-winners of two lifetimeContested pace likely (7 early-speed types)pass | |||||||||
| R8 | 1 | STANFORD DROPOUT | 16% | 11/2 | 3/1 | -4 | 2 | ▼ | 3/16·22d |
| R8 | 5 | BENEFICIAL | 15% | 11/2 | 4/1 | 0 | 3 | ▼B | 8/20·5d |
| R8 | 9 | BAZOOKA CHARLIE | 15% | 6/1 | 5/1 | +2 | 1 | 2/5·8d | |
| R8 | 11 | HANKERING | 12% | 15/2 | 5/1 | -1 | 4 | ▼ | 34/95·7d |
| R8 | 7 | IT'S A FACTOR | 8% | 12/1 | 6/1 | -3 | 8 | ▲ | 6/28·6d |
| R8 | 6 | JOHNLINO | 7% | 12/1 | 20/1 | +4 | 5 | ▲B | 4/10·28d |
| R8 | 10 | AMADOR | 6% | 15/1 | 10/1 | -2 | 7 | ▼ | •1/38·22d |
| R8 | 2 | AUDIBLE SILENCE | 5% | 20/1 | 30/1 | +3 | 6 | 6/16·17d | |
| R8 | 12 | MACHO MAN | 5% | 20/1 | 15/1 | 0 | 11 | 10/19·5d | |
| R8 | 13 | CRUCIBLE | 5% | 20/1 | 20/1 | +1 | 9 | B | 1/3·22d |
| R8 | 4 | MEEKING | 4% | 20/1 | 20/1 | +1 | 10 | 20/27·6d | |
| R8 | 8 | ROCKABILLY REBAL | 3% | 30/1 | 30/1 | +1 | 12 | B | •1/5·6d |
| R97 furlongs dirtGrade 2 stakesEven pacepass | |||||||||
| R9 | 8 | BIG CITY LIGHTS | 15% | 6/1 | 7/2 | -3 | 2 | W | •1/67·15d |
| R9 | 3 | VODKA VODKA | 15% | 6/1 | 6/1 | +3 | 1 | W | 3/30·13d |
| R9 | 9 | MARCH OF TIME | 13% | 13/2 | 5/1 | 0 | 3 | BW | •1/60·8d |
| R9 | 2 | DR. VENKMAN | 11% | 8/1 | 6/1 | 0 | 4 | W | •1/64·7d |
| R9 | 1 | STRONGHOLD | 10% | 9/1 | 6/1 | -1 | 5 | W | 3/86·7d |
| R9 | 5 | BARTHOLDY | 10% | 9/1 | 6/1 | -1 | 6 | W | 2/80·8d |
| R9 | 6 | IRON MAN CAL | 8% | 11/1 | 8/1 | -1 | 7 | W | •1/86·13d |
| R9 | 7 | MOONLIGHT | 7% | 12/1 | 10/1 | 0 | 8 | •1/4·5d | |
| R9 | 10 | JIMMY'S DAILYS | 5% | 20/1 | 20/1 | +1 | 10 | 1/1·12d | |
| R9 | 4 | GOLD SWEEP | 5% | 20/1 | 20/1 | +1 | 9 | B | •1/4·8d |
| R101 3/8 miles turfGrade 2 stakesEven pace1 flag | |||||||||
| R10 | 2 | TEST SCORE | 37% | 9/5 | 3/1 | +17 | 1 | 1/3·7d | |
| R10 | 4 | GOLD PHOENIX | 24% | 3/1 | 5/2 | +2 | 2 | 2/10·6d | |
| R10 | 7 | ATITLAN | 8% | 12/1 | 6/1 | -4 | 4 | •1/5·4d | |
| R10 | 9 | OLD PAL | 8% | 12/1 | 12/1 | +2 | 3 | B | 3/4·6d |
| R10 | 8 | MONDEGO | 7% | 12/1 | 6/1 | -4 | 5 | 3/15·7d | |
| R10 | 10 | FLASHIEST | 4% | 25/1 | 12/1 | -2 | 6 | 13/62·13d | |
| R10 | 11 | PACKS A WAHLOP | 4% | 25/1 | 10/1 | -3 | 8 | W | 2/35·15d |
| R10 | 5 | ATOMIC AGE | 3% | 30/1 | 20/1 | -1 | 7 | 2/10·6d | |
| R10 | 3 | NITTI | 3% | 30/1 | 12/1 | -3 | 10 | 1/3·6d | |
| R10 | 6 | MAAZ | 2% | 50/1 | 15/1 | -3 | 11 | 3/8·7d | |
| R10 | 1 | SANTA BARBARIAN | 2% | 50/1 | 30/1 | -1 | 9 | B | 20/120·7d |
Rank is our power-figure blend, 1 is best. Why reads left to right: whether the pace shape helps (▲) or hurts (▼), the barn (B) and the morning (W). Green is positive, red negative, and BLANK means we have nothing to say, so only rows with signal carry a mark. Model and Fair are ours; Board is the morning line.
Price your own ticket
The exotics builder, the sequence builder and the style ranker all run against this card, 10 races of it, at the real minimum and the real takeout. They live on one page so there is one of each to trust.
The rest of the card our read on every race: analysis, not a bet
R1Chalk1Ala Sawab36%9/56/5
How it sets up
The board and our number agree in a maiden special weight. A short field of five.
Full field ▾
| # | Horse | Model | Fair | Board | Works |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ALA SAWAB | 36% | 9/5 | 6/5 | •1/44·12d |
| 3 | RICCELLI | 29% | 5/2 | 9/5 | 5/105·13d |
| 2 | EMANCIPATE | 22% | 7/2 | 3/1 | 3/80·5d |
| 5 | BID | 7% | 15/1 | 8/1 | 1/3·21d |
| 4 | GALLANT JACK | 6% | 15/1 | 12/1 | 2/55·5d |
R2Chalk2Carolina Legacy21%4/15/2
How it sets up
The board and our number agree in a $20,000 maiden claimer. A full field of ten.
Full field ▾
| # | Horse | Model | Fair | Board | Works |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | CAROLINA LEGACY | 21% | 4/1 | 5/2 | 14/95·13d |
| 10 | RIDE THE TIGER | 18% | 9/2 | 4/1 | 8/48·7d |
| 6 | YAUTOWN | 17% | 5/1 | 7/2 | •1/5·2d |
| 4 | SEAVER WAY | 11% | 15/2 | 8/1 | 4/12·26d |
| 7 | ROSTRON | 8% | 12/1 | 12/1 | 7/12·6d |
| 8 | SIGMA BOY | 7% | 12/1 | 6/1 | 4/42·5d |
| 3 | RED HOT LEAD | 6% | 15/1 | 12/1 | 13/27·6d |
| 9 | MARION MAGIC | 6% | 15/1 | 12/1 | 17/45·13d |
| 5 | GATO VOLADOR | 3% | 30/1 | 20/1 | 2/18·14d |
| 1 | MY MAN HUEY | 2% | 50/1 | 30/1 | •1/72·5d |
R4Lean8Grandisimo20%4/17/2
How it sets up
Pace helps358
Our top-rated horse in a restricted stakes. Three of them want the lead. The barn's angle here is weaker than most of this field, which our number has already discounted. The edge is real but sits under our bet line at 2 points.
Full field ▾
| # | Horse | Model | Fair | Board | Works |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | GRANDISIMO | 20% | 4/1 | 7/2 | 3/3·35d |
| 4 | GOLD FOOT | 19% | 4/1 | 3/1 | 2/58·49d |
| 2 | CAISSON | 17% | 5/1 | 7/2 | 20/45·9d |
| 5 | DRUIDIC | 12% | 7/1 | 6/1 | 27/54·12d |
| 7 | WIZARD OF WESTWOOD | 12% | 15/2 | 5/1 | 7/37·28d |
| 3 | PACER | 10% | 9/1 | 8/1 | 2/21·7d |
| 1 | MIDNITE MUSKET | 6% | 15/1 | 12/1 | 1/3·9d |
| 6 | CATHAL | 5% | 20/1 | 15/1 | 2/4·21d |
R5Scramble12De Facto14%13/27/2
How it sets up
Go forward47910
Pace helps6812
A full field of twelve. Nothing separates the top two by more than 2.0 points. Four horses want the front, so the early fractions should be honest.
Full field ▾
| # | Horse | Model | Fair | Board | Works |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | DE FACTO | 14% | 13/2 | 7/2 | 6/89·7d |
| 4 | PROOF HE GOES | 12% | 15/2 | 5/1 | •1/10·17d |
| 1 | MONSIEUR BIG | 11% | 8/1 | 8/1 | 3/113·7d |
| 10 | POSITIVE TIMES | 10% | 9/1 | 5/1 | •1/15·15d |
| 7 | HIT THE TRACK JACK | 9% | 10/1 | 6/1 | 2/11·7d |
| 5 | BAD UNCLE ERNIE | 9% | 10/1 | 8/1 | 1/1·10d |
| 9 | DELANEYS DREAMER | 8% | 11/1 | 8/1 | 6/103·21d |
| 6 | DADDYS STAR | 8% | 12/1 | 10/1 | 36/64·7d |
| 8 | STILL BULLETPROOF | 7% | 15/1 | 20/1 | 11/14·6d |
| 2 | HE'S PROOF OF JOY | 7% | 15/1 | 20/1 | 52/138·41d |
| 3 | QUALITY GOLD | 5% | 20/1 | 20/1 | 1/1·7d |
| 11 | FASTTRAINTOJERSEY | 2% | 50/1 | 30/1 | •1/10·13d |
R6Chalk10Seamless Factor20%4/13/1
How it sets up
The board and our number agree in a maiden special weight. A full field of ten. The barn's angle in this exact spot is among the best in the field.
Full field ▾
| # | Horse | Model | Fair | Board | Works |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | SEAMLESS FACTOR | 20% | 4/1 | 3/1 | 2/48·8d |
| 6 | PETITE MARIE | 18% | 9/2 | 7/2 | 5/42·4d |
| 4 | SAVVY TIGER | 13% | 13/2 | 5/1 | 1/1·12d |
| 8 | HAPPY HEATWAVE | 12% | 7/1 | 5/1 | 3/19·33d |
| 1 | GRAZED IN A HAZE | 11% | 8/1 | 6/1 | 3/58·8d |
| 7 | HEAVENLY PRAYER | 9% | 11/1 | 8/1 | •1/14·9d |
| 5 | MAIN IMPACT | 6% | 15/1 | 12/1 | 3/5·8d |
| 9 | MAMA LOVES VEGAS | 5% | 15/1 | 15/1 | 7/26·7d |
| 3 | CADEN'S GAL | 4% | 20/1 | 20/1 | 25/38·7d |
| 2 | SOO BRONX | 1% | 99/1 | 30/1 | •1/10·29d |
R7Lean8Matt At Five16%11/25/1
How it sets up
Go forward238910
Pace helps512
Our top-rated horse in a $50,000 allowance optional claimer. Four horses want the front, so the early fractions should be honest. The edge is real but sits under our bet line at 3 points.
Full field ▾
| # | Horse | Model | Fair | Board | Works |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | MATT AT FIVE | 16% | 11/2 | 5/1 | •1/93·5d |
| 6 | SEPTEMBERSIXTYFOUR | 13% | 7/1 | 7/2 | 4/86·7d |
| 10 | HE'S A KNOCKOUT | 12% | 15/2 | 6/1 | 4/35·8d |
| 12 | MEGA MOON | 12% | 15/2 | 5/1 | 2/65·23d |
| 4 | SIR ROCKET | 10% | 9/1 | 6/1 | 2/4·5d |
| 5 | UNCLE CHILLY | 9% | 10/1 | 8/1 | 2/58·5d |
| 9 | ROSCOE'S BROTHER | 9% | 10/1 | 8/1 | 2/87·13d |
| 3 | DUKE SILVER | 8% | 12/1 | 10/1 | 2/87·7d |
| 2 | THIRSTY REBEL | 7% | 12/1 | 12/1 | 17/65·13d |
| 1 | MO KOKO | 6% | 15/1 | 20/1 | •1/64·7d |
R8Scramble1Stanford Dropout16%11/23/1
How it sets up
Go forward151011
Pace helps67
A full field of twelve. The top two are effectively level on our numbers. Seven horses want the front, so the early fractions should be honest.
Full field ▾
| # | Horse | Model | Fair | Board | Works |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | STANFORD DROPOUT | 16% | 11/2 | 3/1 | 3/16·22d |
| 5 | BENEFICIAL | 15% | 11/2 | 4/1 | 8/20·5d |
| 9 | BAZOOKA CHARLIE | 15% | 6/1 | 5/1 | 2/5·8d |
| 11 | HANKERING | 12% | 15/2 | 5/1 | 34/95·7d |
| 7 | IT'S A FACTOR | 8% | 12/1 | 6/1 | 6/28·6d |
| 6 | JOHNLINO | 7% | 12/1 | 20/1 | 4/10·28d |
| 10 | AMADOR | 6% | 15/1 | 10/1 | •1/38·22d |
| 2 | AUDIBLE SILENCE | 5% | 20/1 | 30/1 | 6/16·17d |
| 12 | MACHO MAN | 5% | 20/1 | 15/1 | 10/19·5d |
| 13 | CRUCIBLE | 5% | 20/1 | 20/1 | 1/3·22d |
| 4 | MEEKING | 4% | 20/1 | 20/1 | 20/27·6d |
| 8 | ROCKABILLY REBAL | 3% | 30/1 | 30/1 | •1/5·6d |
R9Scramble8Big City Lights15%6/17/2
How it sets up
A full field of ten. The top two are effectively level on our numbers. We make the top one 15% against the board's 18%.
Full field ▾
| # | Horse | Model | Fair | Board | Works |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | BIG CITY LIGHTS | 15% | 6/1 | 7/2 | •1/67·15d |
| 3 | VODKA VODKA | 15% | 6/1 | 6/1 | 3/30·13d |
| 9 | MARCH OF TIME | 13% | 13/2 | 5/1 | •1/60·8d |
| 2 | DR. VENKMAN | 11% | 8/1 | 6/1 | •1/64·7d |
| 1 | STRONGHOLD | 10% | 9/1 | 6/1 | 3/86·7d |
| 5 | BARTHOLDY | 10% | 9/1 | 6/1 | 2/80·8d |
| 6 | IRON MAN CAL | 8% | 11/1 | 8/1 | •1/86·13d |
| 7 | MOONLIGHT | 7% | 12/1 | 10/1 | •1/4·5d |
| 10 | JIMMY'S DAILYS | 5% | 20/1 | 20/1 | 1/1·12d |
| 4 | GOLD SWEEP | 5% | 20/1 | 20/1 | •1/4·8d |
Public record48–130flags, W–L-31.4uflat-$2-8.8%flat-bet ROI, n=178-33% to +18%95% range, read this oneevery call hash-stamped before post →
We lose most single flags. That’s expected. The edge is price: when we’re right, the board paid more than fair. Our 30% picks win about 30% (see the calibration curve), and every call is graded against the closing odds, wins and losses.
No set price. On the tote you’re paid the closing odds, so the edge isn’t a line you beat early. It’s the gap between our fair number and where the crowd lands. We grade each flag against the actual close.
Our last miss: DMR R8 Just Work It Out, flagged at 8/5, didn’t win, and it is on the record like every call.
Model v0-heuristic-1.4 · cfg aab788cb · code e29d65e9 · takeout (DMR) win 15.43% / exacta 22.68% · card SHA-256 b478e7d51d6e… · Scratch status has not yet been confirmed. Late scratches void at scoring; the card is never edited.
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