Del Mar, Sun Aug 23, 2026

9 races · published 11:28 AM ET · card locked

2 value plays today · 7 races we're passing

StatusCompleted · races run

First post5:00 PM ET

Scratch checkLast checked 5:00 AM ET

Archived card · races already run

These plays were published and locked before first post on Sun Aug 23, 2026. They are kept exactly as published, wins and losses alike, and are no longer actionable. Prices shown were the qualifying prices at publication.

Every selection we have ever published is graded on the record. The methodology is on the methodology page.

Edge of the Day

11MAGGLES MCGEE

Race 5 · 5 furlongs turf

33%model2/1fair7/2boardWINpaid at the close

Our biggest edge on the card today (+15 pts over the board), the crowd will likely bet it down, so expect a shorter number, so size it smaller. Chosen by rule: the flag with the most value, graded like any other.

Today at Del MarSunny, 81°F, wind 0 to 10 mph · rain 2%, no off-track flagNWS forecast

Flags 2 of 9 races

New here? How to read a flag · Model, Fair, Board and the pari-mutuel closing rule, explained once.

Today’s plays2 flags

RaceHorseModelBoardEdge

R511Maggles Mcgee33%7/2+15 pts R99Syntax21%4/1+6 pts

Likely bet down All 2 flags today. A short board price the late money bets down. Still a win play, but expect a shorter number by post, pari-mutuel pays the closing price, so the edge is thinner here. Size it smaller.

Race 5 · 5 furlongs · turf · Maiden special weightFlag

11MAGGLES MCGEE

Model

Fair

Board

33%

2/1

7/2

our win %

break-even

the morning line

▸ WIN BET · paid at the close

Likely bet down

Ranks #1 in our power figure blend.

Data · Brisnet

How it sets up

Even pace12 going

Nobody in here is clearly entitled to the lead. A field this size means traffic is the risk in here, not the pace. Two have shown early speed, under the count that would rate the race contested.

The model’s read ▾

This is the widest gap on today’s card. When our number is that far clear of the board, the disagreement is the whole reason to be here.

It tops our own win number, 13.0 points clear of the next one.

Full field ▾

#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board
11	MAGGLES MCGEE ◀	33%	2/1	7/2
6	ALITTLETOOFABULOUS	20%	4/1	3/1
8	UNUSUAL EXCHANGE	11%	8/1	6/1
10	CYCLONE CLAIRE	9%	10/1	8/1
9	FANTABULOUS	7%	12/1	10/1
3	SALLY'S WISH	6%	15/1	6/1
4	SUPREME WIND	5%	20/1	15/1
5	ADIA	4%	25/1	8/1
1	SIFTING FOR GOLD	2%	50/1	30/1
2	ELEGANT EMMA	2%	50/1	20/1
12	FOR YOU BUD	1%	99/1	30/1
7	ISLE OF ANGELS	1%	99/1	30/1

Race 9 · 1 mile · turf · Optional claiming $20,000, non-winners of one other than maiden, claiming or starterFlag

9SYNTAX

Model

Fair

Board

21%

7/2

4/1

our win %

break-even

the morning line

▸ WIN BET · paid at the close

Likely bet down

Ranks #1 in our power figure blend. Barn angle strong here

Data · Brisnet

How it sets up

Contested4 of 12 want the lead

Pace helps479

Four of the 12 are entitled to the early lead, so the early fractions over a mile on turf in a $20,000 allowance optional claimer should be contested rather than soft.

The model’s read ▾

It tops our own win number, 6.8 points clear of the next one, and with 4 of them wanting the front the early fractions should be honest.

4 of the 12 want the front over a mile on turf, and this one profiles to come from off it, so we pushed its number up for that (×1.1).

Full field ▾

#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board
9	SYNTAX ◀	21%	7/2	4/1
4	WILD WEST COAST	15%	6/1	5/1
6	GOJE	9%	10/1	6/1
12	ORANGE THUNDER	9%	10/1	8/1
11	TROISIEME ETOILE	8%	12/1	8/1
7	REDHEADED REBA	7%	12/1	8/1
3	WE THE HOBBY	7%	15/1	8/1
10	ELLEN JORTH	7%	15/1	10/1
1	IT'S A FAIRLIFE	5%	15/1	12/1
8	NEWPORT DREAMZ	5%	20/1	20/1
5	MPERFECTION	4%	25/1	12/1
2	WHOPPER FACTOR	2%	50/1	30/1

The whole card every runner, our number beside the board

Every runner on the card: our win probability and fair odds beside the morning line, with the edge between them. Sortable by any column.
R	#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board	Edge	Why
R15 1/2 furlongs dirtClaiming $12,500Contested pace likely (4 early-speed types)pass
R1	5	BABY NEEDS SHOES	20%	4/1	4/1	+5	1···
R1	7	MISCHIEVOUS BEV	15%	6/1	7/2	-3	2▼B·
R1	2	SOUTHERN ANTON	12%	7/1	6/1	+1	4···
R1	8	DUSTEM TOO	12%	15/2	5/1	-1	3▼··
R1	3	PRIDE OF QUEENS	12%	15/2	5/1	-1	7▲B·
R1	1	COTTA RIDE	12%	15/2	5/1	-1	6▲B·
R1	4	BLAME IT ON ABBY	11%	8/1	8/1	+2	5···
R1	6	ALIX	6%	15/1	12/1	0	8···
R26 furlongs dirtClaiming $8,000Contested pace likely (3 early-speed types)pass
R2	7	BAYTOWN BUTTERFLY	17%	9/2	5/2	-6	5·B·
R2	8	PERFECT LIFE	15%	11/2	8/1	+6	3▲··
R2	3	ELTONSINGSANOTHER	15%	6/1	7/2	-3	1▼··
R2	1	BUDS N SUDS	15%	6/1	5/1	+1	4▲··
R2	5	ROCK N ROLL SONG	15%	6/1	6/1	+3	2···
R2	6	RYTHEM GIRL	11%	8/1	6/1	-1	6▲··
R2	4	A ROUSING BABE	7%	12/1	8/1	-2	8···
R2	2	MISTY DANCER	6%	15/1	15/1	+1	7···
R31 mile dirtClaiming $20,000Contested pace likely (3 early-speed types)pass
R3	7	HARD TO FIGURE	23%	7/2	2/1	-4	1▼B·
R3	6	JOINT VENTURE	23%	7/2	5/2	0	2▲B·
R3	2	HABEAS	13%	13/2	6/1	+2	3···
R3	3	MIGHTY KAI	13%	13/2	4/1	-3	6▲B·
R3	4	BARELY FUNTIONAL	11%	8/1	10/1	+3	4▲B·
R3	5	GEOMETRY	9%	10/1	12/1	+3	5···
R3	1	ROYAL 'N RANDO	7%	12/1	8/1	-2	7···
R45 furlongs dirtMaiden claiming $20,000Even pacepass
R4	10	JOHNNY B	23%	7/2	5/2	+1	1···
R4	8	BO DIDDLEY	19%	9/2	3/1	-1	3·B·
R4	4	WINSOR GEORGE	18%	9/2	4/1	+3	2···
R4	6	MRSAINTPATRICK	11%	15/2	6/1	0	··B·
R4	3	INCA	9%	10/1	8/1	0	4·B·
R4	5	CLUB FIGHTER	6%	15/1	8/1	-3	5·B·
R4	2	BIG TIME COACH	6%	15/1	12/1	0	····
R4	7	KICKINGIT	3%	30/1	30/1	+1	6·B·
R4	9	JUST GUAPO	2%	50/1	30/1	0	··B·
R4	1	RFRIENDSRTHIRSTY	1%	50/1	30/1	-1	7···
R55 furlongs turfMaiden special weightEven pace1 flag
R5	11	MAGGLES MCGEE	33%	2/1	7/2	+15	1···
R5	6	ALITTLETOOFABULOUS	20%	4/1	3/1	0	····
R5	8	UNUSUAL EXCHANGE	11%	8/1	6/1	-1	2···
R5	10	CYCLONE CLAIRE	9%	10/1	8/1	0	····
R5	9	FANTABULOUS	7%	12/1	10/1	0	····
R5	3	SALLY'S WISH	6%	15/1	6/1	-5	3···
R5	4	SUPREME WIND	5%	20/1	15/1	0	····
R5	5	ADIA	4%	25/1	8/1	-5	4···
R5	1	SIFTING FOR GOLD	2%	50/1	30/1	0	··B·
R5	2	ELEGANT EMMA	2%	50/1	20/1	-2	5···
R5	12	FOR YOU BUD	1%	99/1	30/1	-1	6···
R5	7	ISLE OF ANGELS	1%	99/1	30/1	-1	7···
R61 mile dirtClaiming $10,000, non-winners of two lifetimeContested pace likely (3 early-speed types)pass
R6	3	CHE	16%	11/2	4/1	0	2▲B·
R6	8	HONDO CROUCH	15%	11/2	7/2	-2	1▼B·
R6	6	FORZA AZZURRI	12%	15/2	4/1	-4	7···
R6	5	DAY MAN	10%	9/1	8/1	+1	5···
R6	1	STERLING SEA	10%	9/1	8/1	+1	6···
R6	4	BAKO COUNTRY	9%	10/1	6/1	-2	8···
R6	9	NOBLE MINDED	8%	11/1	12/1	+2	3▼B·
R6	2	TROJAN MAFIA	8%	11/1	15/1	+3	4▼··
R6	7	SUNK COST FALLACY	7%	12/1	12/1	+1	9▲··
R6	10	TYPHOON TOMMY	4%	25/1	20/1	0	10▼B·
R71 1/8 miles turfGrade 2 stakesEven pacepass
R7	1	PROLETARIAT	24%	3/1	9/5	-5	1·B·
R7	5	BUST OUT	13%	13/2	8/1	+4	2···
R7	4	TRIBALISM	12%	15/2	5/1	-2	4···
R7	3	SECURED FREEDOM	11%	8/1	8/1	+2	3···
R7	7	JORDI BEAR	9%	10/1	8/1	0	5···
R7	9	CHARLIE'S CURLIN	8%	11/1	12/1	+2	6···
R7	8	MELISMATIC	8%	11/1	6/1	-3	8···
R7	2	UNRIVALED TIME	8%	12/1	15/1	+3	7·B·
R7	6	PAVLOVIAN	7%	15/1	8/1	-2	9···
R86 1/2 furlongs dirtMaiden claiming $16,000Even pacepass
R8	6	ANTI SLAPP	22%	7/2	3/1	+2	1···
R8	4	SOPHIA MIJA	15%	11/2	4/1	-1	2···
R8	1	STORMY GAL	13%	13/2	7/2	-4	3·B·
R8	10	BIG WHOOSH	9%	10/1	8/1	0	4·B·
R8	11	SODA	7%	12/1	8/1	-1	8·B·
R8	7	DARLIN' DUCHESS	7%	12/1	12/1	+1	5···
R8	9	CINDYS BEACH HOUSE	7%	15/1	12/1	+1	6···
R8	3	SALTY SISS	6%	15/1	12/1	0	7···
R8	2	MARVELOUSMISSMABEL	5%	20/1	12/1	-1	10·B·
R8	8	AWESOME OLGA	4%	25/1	20/1	0	9·B·
R8	5	KYATHOS	4%	25/1	30/1	+1	11···
R91 mile turfOptional claiming $20,000, non-winners of one other than maiden, claiming or starterContested pace likely (4 early-speed types)1 flag
R9	9	SYNTAX	21%	7/2	4/1	+6	1▲B·
R9	4	WILD WEST COAST	15%	6/1	5/1	+1	2▲··
R9	6	GOJE	9%	10/1	6/1	-2	4···
R9	12	ORANGE THUNDER	9%	10/1	8/1	0	3···
R9	11	TROISIEME ETOILE	8%	12/1	8/1	-1	5···
R9	7	REDHEADED REBA	7%	12/1	8/1	-1	6▲B·
R9	3	WE THE HOBBY	7%	15/1	8/1	-2	8···
R9	10	ELLEN JORTH	7%	15/1	10/1	0	6·B·
R9	1	IT'S A FAIRLIFE	5%	15/1	12/1	-1	10·B·
R9	8	NEWPORT DREAMZ	5%	20/1	20/1	+1	9···
R9	5	MPERFECTION	4%	25/1	12/1	-2	11·B·
R9	2	WHOPPER FACTOR	2%	50/1	30/1	0	12·B·

Why reads left to right: rank on our power-figure blend, whether the pace shape helps (▲) or hurts (▼), the barn (B) and the morning (W). Green is positive, red negative, a dot means nothing to say. Model and Fair are ours; Board is the morning line.

Price your own ticket

The exotics builder, the sequence builder and the style ranker all run against this card, 9 races of it, at the real minimum and the real takeout. They live on one page so there is one of each to trust.

Open the builders →

The rest of the card our read on every race: analysis, not a bet

R1Lean5Baby Needs Shoes20%4/14/1

How it sets up

dirtContested4 of 8 want the lead

Go forward78

Pace helps13

Our top-rated horse in a $12,500 claimer. Four horses want the front, so the early fractions should be honest. The edge is real but sits under our bet line at 5 points.

Full field ▾

#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board
5	BABY NEEDS SHOES	20%	4/1	4/1
7	MISCHIEVOUS BEV	15%	6/1	7/2
2	SOUTHERN ANTON	12%	7/1	6/1
8	DUSTEM TOO	12%	15/2	5/1
3	PRIDE OF QUEENS	12%	15/2	5/1
1	COTTA RIDE	12%	15/2	5/1
4	BLAME IT ON ABBY	11%	8/1	8/1
6	ALIX	6%	15/1	12/1

R2Scramble7Baytown Butterfly17%9/25/2

How it sets up

dirtContested3 of 8 want the lead

Go forward3

Pace helps168

An open heat. Nothing separates the top two by more than 2.5 points. Three of them want the lead. The barn's angle in this exact spot is among the best in the field. We make the favourite, #7 BAYTOWN BUTTERFLY, 17% against the board's 23%, shorter than we think it should be. We are not betting the race; take it as an opinion, not a play.

Full field ▾

#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board
7	BAYTOWN BUTTERFLY	17%	9/2	5/2
8	PERFECT LIFE	15%	11/2	8/1
3	ELTONSINGSANOTHER	15%	6/1	7/2
1	BUDS N SUDS	15%	6/1	5/1
5	ROCK N ROLL SONG	15%	6/1	6/1
6	RYTHEM GIRL	11%	8/1	6/1
4	A ROUSING BABE	7%	12/1	8/1
2	MISTY DANCER	6%	15/1	15/1

R3Chalk7Hard To Figure23%7/22/1

How it sets up

dirtContested3 of 7 want the lead

Go forward7

Pace helps346

The board and our number agree in a $20,000 claimer. Three of them want the lead. The barn's angle in this exact spot is among the best in the field.

Full field ▾

#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board
7	HARD TO FIGURE	23%	7/2	2/1
6	JOINT VENTURE	23%	7/2	5/2
2	HABEAS	13%	13/2	6/1
3	MIGHTY KAI	13%	13/2	4/1
4	BARELY FUNTIONAL	11%	8/1	10/1
5	GEOMETRY	9%	10/1	12/1
1	ROYAL 'N RANDO	7%	12/1	8/1

R4Chalk10Johnny B23%7/25/2

How it sets up

dirtEven pace10 going

The board and our number agree in a $20,000 maiden claimer. A full field of ten.

Full field ▾

#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board
10	JOHNNY B	23%	7/2	5/2
8	BO DIDDLEY	19%	9/2	3/1
4	WINSOR GEORGE	18%	9/2	4/1
6	MRSAINTPATRICK	11%	15/2	6/1
3	INCA	9%	10/1	8/1
5	CLUB FIGHTER	6%	15/1	8/1
2	BIG TIME COACH	6%	15/1	12/1
7	KICKINGIT	3%	30/1	30/1
9	JUST GUAPO	2%	50/1	30/1
1	RFRIENDSRTHIRSTY	1%	50/1	30/1

R6Scramble3Che16%11/24/1

How it sets up

dirtContested3 of 10 want the lead

Go forward28910

Pace helps37

A full field of ten. The top two are effectively level on our numbers. Three of them want the lead. The barn's angle in this exact spot is among the best in the field.

Full field ▾

#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board
3	CHE	16%	11/2	4/1
8	HONDO CROUCH	15%	11/2	7/2
6	FORZA AZZURRI	12%	15/2	4/1
5	DAY MAN	10%	9/1	8/1
1	STERLING SEA	10%	9/1	8/1
4	BAKO COUNTRY	9%	10/1	6/1
9	NOBLE MINDED	8%	11/1	12/1
2	TROJAN MAFIA	8%	11/1	15/1
7	SUNK COST FALLACY	7%	12/1	12/1
10	TYPHOON TOMMY	4%	25/1	20/1

R7Chalk1Proletariat24%3/19/5

How it sets up

turfEven pace9 going

The board and our number agree in a Grade 2. We make the top one 24% against the board's 29%. The barn's angle in this exact spot is among the best in the field.

Full field ▾

#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board
1	PROLETARIAT	24%	3/1	9/5
5	BUST OUT	13%	13/2	8/1
4	TRIBALISM	12%	15/2	5/1
3	SECURED FREEDOM	11%	8/1	8/1
7	JORDI BEAR	9%	10/1	8/1
9	CHARLIE'S CURLIN	8%	11/1	12/1
8	MELISMATIC	8%	11/1	6/1
2	UNRIVALED TIME	8%	12/1	15/1
6	PAVLOVIAN	7%	15/1	8/1

R8Lean6Anti Slapp22%7/23/1

How it sets up

dirtEven pace11 going

Our top-rated horse in a $16,000 maiden claimer. We make the top one 22% against the board's 20%. The edge is real but sits under our bet line at 2 points.

Full field ▾

#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board
6	ANTI SLAPP	22%	7/2	3/1
4	SOPHIA MIJA	15%	11/2	4/1
1	STORMY GAL	13%	13/2	7/2
10	BIG WHOOSH	9%	10/1	8/1
11	SODA	7%	12/1	8/1
7	DARLIN' DUCHESS	7%	12/1	12/1
9	CINDYS BEACH HOUSE	7%	15/1	12/1
3	SALTY SISS	6%	15/1	12/1
2	MARVELOUSMISSMABEL	5%	20/1	12/1
8	AWESOME OLGA	4%	25/1	20/1
5	KYATHOS	4%	25/1	30/1

Model v0-heuristic-1.4 · cfg aab788cb · code 07cdb408 · takeout (DMR) win 15.43% / exacta 22.68% · card SHA-256 9f6019a8bddd… · Scratch status last checked at 5:00 AM ET, not re-confirmed since. Late scratches void at scoring; the card is never edited.

Edge Card runs a proprietary pre-race probability process: market expectations combined with licensed past-performance, pace, field-composition and connections information, evaluated within each race. Exact implementation details are not published. Structured analysis, not a proven edge; tracked publicly either way. How to read this card · the method in full · every call graded

Verifying this card

Downloadable artifact hash	`9f6019a8bddda5c0bc3f38fc180a7db7423f081a6df13976ef90a3eb7607e9a8`
OpenTimestamps status	OpenTimestamps calendar commitment; Bitcoin confirmation pending