Del Mar, Sun Aug 9, 2026

9 races · published 10:59 AM ET · card locked

2 value plays today · 7 races we're passing

StatusCompleted · races run

First post2:00 PM PT

Scratch checkChecked · 10:58 AM ET

Archived card · races already run

These plays were published and locked before first post on Sun Aug 9, 2026. They are kept exactly as published, wins and losses alike, and are no longer actionable. Prices shown were the qualifying prices at publication.

Every selection we have ever published is graded on the record. The methodology is on the methodology page.

Edge of the Day

7ULYSSES ROSE

Race 1 · 1 1/8 miles turf

39%model8/5fair5/2boardWINpaid at the close

Our biggest edge on the card today (+16 pts over the board), the crowd will likely bet it down, so expect a shorter number, so size it smaller. Chosen by rule: the flag with the most value, graded like any other.

Today at Del MarPartly Sunny, 79°F, wind 0 to 10 mph · rain 4%, no off-track flagNWS forecast

Flags 2 of 9 races

New here? How to read a flag · Model, Fair, Board and the pari-mutuel closing rule, explained once.

Today’s plays2 flags

RaceHorseModelBoardEdge

R17Ulysses Rose39%5/2+16 pts R59Enterdadragon27%4/1+11 pts

Likely bet down All 2 flags today. A short board price the late money bets down. Still a win play, but expect a shorter number by post, pari-mutuel pays the closing price, so the edge is thinner here. Size it smaller.

Race 1 · 1 1/8 miles · turf · Maiden special weightFlag

7ULYSSES ROSE

Model

Fair

Board

39%

8/5

5/2

our win %

break-even

the morning line

▸ WIN BET · paid at the close

Likely bet down

Ranks #1 in our power figure blend.

Data · Brisnet

How it sets up

Lone speedone gets loose on the lead, 7 going

Alone on the lead6

One of the 7 looks alone on the lead, clear of the field on the early figures over a mile and an eighth on turf, with nothing else in here entitled to go with it.

The model’s read ▾

This is the widest gap on today’s card. When our number is that far clear of the board, the disagreement is the whole reason to be here.

It tops our own win number, 21.8 points clear of the next one, in a race where one of them looks like getting loose on the lead.

In a field of 7 it profiles as the lone speed over a mile and an eighth on turf, likely alone on the lead.

Full field ▾

#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board
7	ULYSSES ROSE ◀	39%	8/5	5/2
3	PENTLE BAY	17%	5/1	3/1
6	DARING PURSUIT	13%	7/1	4/1
5	BRAZORIA	10%	9/1	6/1
1	HELEN'S TIME	8%	11/1	12/1
2	RUNYON CANYON	7%	15/1	6/1
4	PRECLUDE	6%	15/1	6/1

Race 5 · 5 furlongs · turf · Claiming $25,000Flag

9ENTERDADRAGON

Model

Fair

Board

27%

5/2

4/1

our win %

break-even

the morning line

▸ WIN BET · paid at the close

Likely bet down

Ranks #1 in our power figure blend; closer in a contested-pace setup.

Data · Brisnet

How it sets up

Contested3 of 9 want the lead

Go forward1

Pace helps29

Three of the 9 are entitled to the early lead, so the opening quarter over five furlongs on turf in a $25,000 claimer should be contested rather than soft.

The model’s read ▾

It tops our own win number, 10.3 points clear of the next one, and with 3 of them wanting the front the early fractions should be honest.

3 of the 9 want the front over five furlongs on turf, and this one profiles to come from off it, so we pushed its number up for that (×1.1).

Full field ▾

#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board
9	ENTERDADRAGON ◀	27%	5/2	4/1
8	DANIEL'S MAGIC	17%	5/1	3/1
1	COMEDY TOWN	17%	5/1	7/2
3	GAZON	14%	6/1	4/1
2	SMART CODE	10%	9/1	10/1
6	URBAN RULER	6%	15/1	5/1
7	TOM SEAVER	4%	30/1	20/1
4	NIJINSKY HALO	3%	30/1	30/1
5	KIMMER	2%	30/1	20/1

The whole card every runner, our number beside the board

Every runner on the card: our win probability and fair odds beside the morning line, with the edge between them. Sortable by any column.
R	#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board	Edge	Why
R11 1/8 miles turfMaiden special weightLone speed1 flag
R1	7	ULYSSES ROSE	39%	8/5	5/2	+16	1···
R1	3	PENTLE BAY	17%	5/1	3/1	-3	2···
R1	6	DARING PURSUIT	13%	7/1	4/1	-4	5▲··
R1	5	BRAZORIA	10%	9/1	6/1	-1	3···
R1	1	HELEN'S TIME	8%	11/1	12/1	+2	4···
R1	2	RUNYON CANYON	7%	15/1	6/1	-5	6···
R1	4	PRECLUDE	6%	15/1	6/1	-5	7···
R26 1/2 furlongs dirtMaiden special weightEven pacepass
R2	1	MISS MONICA	32%	2/1	8/5	+1	····
R2	5	WELL VERSED	27%	5/2	2/1	0	····
R2	4	ROYAL PEARL	20%	4/1	3/1	0	····
R2	2	FOREWARN	16%	5/1	4/1	0	····
R2	3	MOOBERRY	5%	20/1	15/1	0	1···
R31 mile turfOptional claiming $80,000, non-winners of one other than maiden, claiming or starterEven pacepass
R3	1	RED CHERRY	26%	3/1	5/2	+3	1···
R3	7	WHAT ABOUT US	20%	4/1	3/1	+1	····
R3	2	MIA FAMILIA	13%	13/2	5/1	0	2···
R3	6	FULL MOON TONIGHT	11%	8/1	6/1	0	····
R3	4	MEMORIZED	11%	8/1	4/1	-5	5···
R3	5	PEPPERMINT DASH	10%	9/1	6/1	-1	4···
R3	3	SOUL SISTER	9%	11/1	12/1	+3	3···
R45 furlongs dirtMaiden claiming $20,000Even pacepass
R4	3	BIG BROADCAST	20%	4/1	3/1	0	····
R4	2	SENORA GOBERNADORA	18%	9/2	7/2	0	1···
R4	10	CLUB MAYO	13%	13/2	5/1	0	····
R4	8	REJOICEFUL	11%	8/1	6/1	0	····
R4	7	AZ DAISY	9%	10/1	8/1	0	····
R4	9	ELEANORE'S PICK	9%	10/1	8/1	0	····
R4	6	SHE'S MY STAR	7%	12/1	20/1	+3	2···
R4	4	BEASTRO	6%	15/1	8/1	-3	3···
R4	1	DE PANTERA	4%	25/1	20/1	0	····
R4	5	RIDE LIKE THE WOLF	3%	30/1	20/1	-1	4···
R55 furlongs turfClaiming $25,000Contested pace likely (3 early-speed types)1 flag
R5	9	ENTERDADRAGON	27%	5/2	4/1	+11	1▲··
R5	8	DANIEL'S MAGIC	17%	5/1	3/1	-3	3···
R5	1	COMEDY TOWN	17%	5/1	7/2	-1	2▼··
R5	3	GAZON	14%	6/1	4/1	-2	4···
R5	2	SMART CODE	10%	9/1	10/1	+3	5▲··
R5	6	URBAN RULER	6%	15/1	5/1	-7	8···
R5	7	TOM SEAVER	4%	30/1	20/1	0	7···
R5	4	NIJINSKY HALO	3%	30/1	30/1	+1	6···
R5	5	KIMMER	2%	30/1	20/1	-1	9···
R66 furlongs dirtGrade 3 stakesLone speedpass
R6	4	RUIVA	37%	8/5	7/5	+4	·▲··
R6	5	HOLMBY	31%	5/2	8/5	0	1···
R6	2	BELLEZA LATINA	10%	9/1	8/1	+1	2···
R6	3	CRAZY HOT MESS	8%	12/1	12/1	+2	3···
R6	1	DASH	7%	12/1	6/1	-4	5···
R6	6	BLOCKADE	7%	12/1	8/1	-2	4···
R75 furlongs turfOptional claiming $20,000, non-winners of one other than maiden, claiming or starterContested pace likely (4 early-speed types)pass
R7	7	PAVEL IS APPEALING	26%	3/1	2/1	0	1▲··
R7	9	PURE CHAOS	16%	11/2	4/1	0	3▲··
R7	10	TAKING A JOY RIDE	13%	13/2	8/1	+4	2···
R7	6	TIGER OF THE SEA	11%	8/1	6/1	0	5···
R7	8	COME ON OM	11%	8/1	8/1	+2	4···
R7	1	CHRISTA MCAULIFFE	8%	11/1	12/1	+2	6···
R7	3	DONTTELLMEWHATTODO	6%	15/1	8/1	-3	7▼··
R7	5	FANCY FACTS	4%	25/1	10/1	-4	9▼··
R7	2	HARNEY LANE	3%	30/1	30/1	0	10▲··
R7	4	PETIT FILET	3%	30/1	20/1	-1	8▼··
R86 1/2 furlongs dirtOptional claiming $50,000, non-winners of one other than maiden, claiming or starterEven pacepass
R8	1	NO BAD BEATS	20%	4/1	2/1	-7	4···
R8	6	POCKET VENUS	19%	4/1	4/1	+3	1···
R8	5	SCARY FAST RIDE	19%	4/1	3/1	-1	3···
R8	2	SHARED FUTURE	18%	9/2	4/1	+2	2···
R8	4	KINZLEE'SCHARISMA	15%	6/1	6/1	+3	5···
R8	3	CLARINA	6%	15/1	12/1	0	6···
R8	7	KAMBREE'S FLYER	3%	30/1	30/1	0	7···
R91 mile turfOptional claiming $50,000Even pacepass
R9	2	ROSTOVSKY	16%	11/2	4/1	0	1···
R9	7	MOONLIT SONATA	13%	13/2	5/1	0	4···
R9	4	DIVISIBLE BY	12%	7/1	8/1	+4	2···
R9	10	KNOWHERE	11%	8/1	12/1	+5	3···
R9	1	BACK NINE STAKES	10%	9/1	7/2	-7	8···
R9	8	DREAMRIDER	10%	9/1	6/1	-1	7···
R9	5	MAXIMON	8%	12/1	12/1	+2	5···
R9	9	MUSCLED	8%	12/1	12/1	+2	6···
R9	11	MUIR WOODS	4%	20/1	12/1	-2	10···
R9	3	NO POKING AROUND	4%	25/1	20/1	0	9···
R9	6	STERLING SEA	4%	25/1	12/1	-2	11···

Why reads left to right: rank on our power-figure blend, whether the pace shape helps (▲) or hurts (▼), the barn (B) and the morning (W). Green is positive, red negative, a dot means nothing to say. Model and Fair are ours; Board is the morning line.

Price your own ticket

The exotics builder, the sequence builder and the style ranker all run against this card, 9 races of it, at the real minimum and the real takeout. They live on one page so there is one of each to trust.

Open the builders →

The rest of the card our read on every race: analysis, not a bet

R2Chalk1Miss Monica32%2/18/5

How it sets up

dirtEven pace5 going

The board and our number agree in a maiden special weight. A short field of five.

Full field ▾

#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board
1	MISS MONICA	32%	2/1	8/5
5	WELL VERSED	27%	5/2	2/1
4	ROYAL PEARL	20%	4/1	3/1
2	FOREWARN	16%	5/1	4/1
3	MOOBERRY	5%	20/1	15/1

R3Lean1Red Cherry26%3/15/2

How it sets up

turfEven pace7 going

Our top-rated horse in a $80,000 allowance optional claimer. We make the top one 26% against the board's 23%. The edge is real but sits under our bet line at 3 points.

Full field ▾

#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board
1	RED CHERRY	26%	3/1	5/2
7	WHAT ABOUT US	20%	4/1	3/1
2	MIA FAMILIA	13%	13/2	5/1
6	FULL MOON TONIGHT	11%	8/1	6/1
4	MEMORIZED	11%	8/1	4/1
5	PEPPERMINT DASH	10%	9/1	6/1
3	SOUL SISTER	9%	11/1	12/1

R4Chalk3Big Broadcast20%4/13/1

How it sets up

dirtEven pace10 going

The board and our number agree in a $20,000 maiden claimer. A full field of ten.

Full field ▾

#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board
3	BIG BROADCAST	20%	4/1	3/1
2	SENORA GOBERNADORA	18%	9/2	7/2
10	CLUB MAYO	13%	13/2	5/1
8	REJOICEFUL	11%	8/1	6/1
7	AZ DAISY	9%	10/1	8/1
9	ELEANORE'S PICK	9%	10/1	8/1
6	SHE'S MY STAR	7%	12/1	20/1
4	BEASTRO	6%	15/1	8/1
1	DE PANTERA	4%	25/1	20/1
5	RIDE LIKE THE WOLF	3%	30/1	20/1

R6Lean4Ruiva37%8/57/5

How it sets up

dirtLone speedone gets loose on the lead, 6 going

Alone on the lead4

Our number likes this one in a Grade 3, though it is not the top figure. One horse looks alone on the lead, which our pace adjustment credits. The edge is real but sits under our bet line at 4 points.

Full field ▾

#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board
4	RUIVA	37%	8/5	7/5
5	HOLMBY	31%	5/2	8/5
2	BELLEZA LATINA	10%	9/1	8/1
3	CRAZY HOT MESS	8%	12/1	12/1
1	DASH	7%	12/1	6/1
6	BLOCKADE	7%	12/1	8/1

R7Chalk7Pavel Is Appealing26%3/12/1

How it sets up

turfContested4 of 10 want the lead

Go forward345

Pace helps279

The board and our number agree in a $20,000 allowance optional claimer. Four horses want the front, so the early fractions should be honest.

Full field ▾

#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board
7	PAVEL IS APPEALING	26%	3/1	2/1
9	PURE CHAOS	16%	11/2	4/1
10	TAKING A JOY RIDE	13%	13/2	8/1
6	TIGER OF THE SEA	11%	8/1	6/1
8	COME ON OM	11%	8/1	8/1
1	CHRISTA MCAULIFFE	8%	11/1	12/1
3	DONTTELLMEWHATTODO	6%	15/1	8/1
5	FANCY FACTS	4%	25/1	10/1
2	HARNEY LANE	3%	30/1	30/1
4	PETIT FILET	3%	30/1	20/1

R8Chalk1No Bad Beats20%4/12/1

How it sets up

dirtEven pace7 going

The board and our number agree in a $50,000 allowance optional claimer. Nothing in the price worth taking. We make the favourite, #1 NO BAD BEATS, 20% against the board's 27%, shorter than we think it should be. We are not betting the race; take it as an opinion, not a play.

Full field ▾

#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board
1	NO BAD BEATS	20%	4/1	2/1
6	POCKET VENUS	19%	4/1	4/1
5	SCARY FAST RIDE	19%	4/1	3/1
2	SHARED FUTURE	18%	9/2	4/1
4	KINZLEE'SCHARISMA	15%	6/1	6/1
3	CLARINA	6%	15/1	12/1
7	KAMBREE'S FLYER	3%	30/1	30/1

R9Scramble2Rostovsky16%11/24/1

How it sets up

turfEven pace11 going

A full field of eleven. Nothing separates the top two by more than 2.5 points. We make the top one 16% against the board's 16%.

Full field ▾

#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board
2	ROSTOVSKY	16%	11/2	4/1
7	MOONLIT SONATA	13%	13/2	5/1
4	DIVISIBLE BY	12%	7/1	8/1
10	KNOWHERE	11%	8/1	12/1
1	BACK NINE STAKES	10%	9/1	7/2
8	DREAMRIDER	10%	9/1	6/1
5	MAXIMON	8%	12/1	12/1
9	MUSCLED	8%	12/1	12/1
11	MUIR WOODS	4%	20/1	12/1
3	NO POKING AROUND	4%	25/1	20/1
6	STERLING SEA	4%	25/1	12/1

Model v0-heuristic-1.4 · cfg aab788cb · code 041077ef · takeout (DMR) win 15.43% / exacta 22.68% · card SHA-256 32cd1b413d0e… · Scratch status checked at 10:58 AM ET. Late scratches void at scoring; the card is never edited.

Edge Card runs a proprietary pre-race probability process: market expectations combined with licensed past-performance, pace, field-composition and connections information, evaluated within each race. Exact implementation details are not published. Structured analysis, not a proven edge; tracked publicly either way. How to read this card · the method in full · every call graded

Verifying this card

Downloadable artifact hash	`32cd1b413d0e36343a4eb0b1978aac631eefc6d4dc5c16622bbefad6f556b2a4`
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