Del Mar, Thu Aug 6, 2026
8 races · published 11:47 AM ET · card locked
1 value play today · 7 races we're passing
Archived card · races already run
These plays were published and locked before first post on Thu Aug 6, 2026. They are kept exactly as published, wins and losses alike, and are no longer actionable. Prices shown were the qualifying prices at publication.
Every selection we have ever published is graded on the record. The methodology is on the methodology page.
Edge of the Day
6NOKIE
Race 1 · 6 furlongs dirt
29%model5/2fair3/1boardWINpaid at the close
Our biggest edge on the card today (+9 pts over the board), the crowd will likely bet it down, so expect a shorter number, so size it smaller. Chosen by rule: the flag with the most value, graded like any other.
Today at Del MarMostly Sunny, 78°F, wind 0 to 10 mph · rain 2%, no off-track flagNWS forecast
Flags 1 of 8 races
New here? How to read a flag · Model, Fair, Board and the pari-mutuel closing rule, explained once.
FlagShare
6NOKIE
Model
Fair
Board
29%
5/2
3/1
our win %
break-even
the morning line
▸ WIN BET · paid at the close
Likely bet down A short board price the late money bets down. Still a win play, but expect a shorter number by post, pari-mutuel pays the closing price, so the edge is thinner here. Size it smaller.
Ranks #1 in our power figure blend.
Data · Brisnet
How it sets up
Nobody in here is clearly entitled to the lead. Only one has shown genuine early speed, without enough company to rate the race contested.
The model’s read ▾
This is the widest gap on today’s card. When our number is that far clear of the board, the disagreement is the whole reason to be here.
It tops our own win number, 7.1 points clear of the next one.
Full field ▾
| # | Horse | Model | Fair | Board |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | NOKIE ◀ | 29% | 5/2 | 3/1 |
| 4 | ROCK N ROLL SONG | 22% | 7/2 | 5/2 |
| 5 | HEADED FOR OM | 13% | 13/2 | 4/1 |
| 8 | BUDS N SUDS | 12% | 7/1 | 6/1 |
| 1 | RYTHEM GIRL | 8% | 12/1 | 10/1 |
| 7 | SUPER ELLIE | 7% | 12/1 | 8/1 |
| 3 | A ROUSING BABE | 5% | 15/1 | 8/1 |
| 2 | VICTORIA'S JEWEL | 3% | 30/1 | 20/1 |
The whole card every runner, our number beside the board
| R | # | Horse | Model | Fair | Board | Edge | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R16 furlongs dirtClaiming $6,250Even pace1 flag | |||||||
| R1 | 6 | NOKIE | 29% | 5/2 | 3/1 | +9 | 1··· |
| R1 | 4 | ROCK N ROLL SONG | 22% | 7/2 | 5/2 | -1 | 2··· |
| R1 | 5 | HEADED FOR OM | 13% | 13/2 | 4/1 | -3 | 4··· |
| R1 | 8 | BUDS N SUDS | 12% | 7/1 | 6/1 | +1 | 3··· |
| R1 | 1 | RYTHEM GIRL | 8% | 12/1 | 10/1 | +1 | 5··· |
| R1 | 7 | SUPER ELLIE | 7% | 12/1 | 8/1 | -2 | 6··· |
| R1 | 3 | A ROUSING BABE | 5% | 15/1 | 8/1 | -4 | 7··· |
| R1 | 2 | VICTORIA'S JEWEL | 3% | 30/1 | 20/1 | -1 | 8··· |
| R21 mile dirtOptional claiming $20,000, non-winners of one other than maiden, claiming or starterContested pace likely (3 early-speed types)pass | |||||||
| R2 | 1 | CHRISTEL CLEAN | 21% | 7/2 | 3/1 | +1 | 1··· |
| R2 | 5 | CECILIA STREET | 18% | 9/2 | 7/2 | 0 | 2··· |
| R2 | 3 | DORIE MILLER | 18% | 9/2 | 5/2 | -5 | 3▲·· |
| R2 | 7 | PAVEL'S ETOILE | 13% | 13/2 | 4/1 | -3 | 6▼·· |
| R2 | 2 | JACKLYN LUCAS | 11% | 8/1 | 10/1 | +3 | 5▲·· |
| R2 | 6 | LINO'S ANGEL | 10% | 9/1 | 8/1 | +1 | 4··· |
| R2 | 4 | BERRY VALLEY | 9% | 10/1 | 12/1 | +3 | 7··· |
| R35 furlongs turfMaiden special weightEven pacepass | |||||||
| R3 | 8 | GOLDEN CLUB | 29% | 5/2 | 2/1 | +3 | 1··· |
| R3 | 1 | CHISELED IN STONE | 20% | 4/1 | 3/1 | 0 | ···· |
| R3 | 5 | GOLDEN SENTRY | 13% | 13/2 | 5/1 | 0 | ···· |
| R3 | 2 | ENJOY THE RIDE | 13% | 7/1 | 5/1 | 0 | ···· |
| R3 | 6 | INSTINCTIVELY | 8% | 11/1 | 8/1 | -1 | 2··· |
| R3 | 3 | HAUNTED HOUSE | 6% | 15/1 | 12/1 | 0 | ···· |
| R3 | 4 | RAPID THIRSTY | 6% | 15/1 | 12/1 | 0 | ···· |
| R3 | 7 | DIAMOND TORNADO | 5% | 20/1 | 12/1 | -1 | 3··· |
| R41 mile dirtClaiming $12,500, non-winners of two lifetimeContested pace likely (3 early-speed types)pass | |||||||
| R4 | 4 | CAN'T SAY THAT | 22% | 7/2 | 3/1 | +2 | 2▲·· |
| R4 | 7 | GOOD GOLLY DOLLY | 20% | 4/1 | 7/2 | +2 | 1··· |
| R4 | 5 | BITTER TRUTH | 14% | 6/1 | 4/1 | -2 | 4▲·· |
| R4 | 6 | DADDYGAVEITTOME | 11% | 8/1 | 8/1 | +2 | 3▼·· |
| R4 | 1 | FORZA PALERMO | 8% | 12/1 | 8/1 | -1 | 7··· |
| R4 | 8 | LOVE LOCK | 8% | 12/1 | 8/1 | -1 | 6▼·· |
| R4 | 3 | BUSY MAKING MUNNY | 7% | 12/1 | 12/1 | +1 | 5▼·· |
| R4 | 9 | UNION HEIRESS | 6% | 15/1 | 8/1 | -3 | 9··· |
| R4 | 2 | CRYPTO CRUSH | 4% | 20/1 | 20/1 | +1 | 8▼·· |
| R55 furlongs turfMaiden special weightEven pacepass | |||||||
| R5 | 3 | MISSED FORTUNE | 23% | 7/2 | 5/2 | 0 | ···· |
| R5 | 8 | HAL OF A DAY | 20% | 4/1 | 3/1 | 0 | ···· |
| R5 | 6 | CAN'TAFFORD NOT TO | 16% | 5/1 | 4/1 | 0 | ···· |
| R5 | 7 | NEVER OBEY | 9% | 10/1 | 8/1 | 0 | ···· |
| R5 | 5 | HALLAGREY | 9% | 10/1 | 8/1 | 0 | ···· |
| R5 | 2 | LIBERTY CAT | 9% | 10/1 | 8/1 | 0 | ···· |
| R5 | 1 | MIDNIGHT BUCK | 7% | 12/1 | 10/1 | 0 | ···· |
| R5 | 4 | BELIEVER | 6% | 15/1 | 12/1 | 0 | ···· |
| R66 1/2 furlongs dirtMaiden special weightContested pace likely (3 early-speed types)pass | |||||||
| R6 | 8 | HIMARI | 20% | 4/1 | 3/1 | 0 | ···· |
| R6 | 6 | MESMERIZE | 16% | 11/2 | 4/1 | 0 | ···· |
| R6 | 1 | SAUCIER | 14% | 13/2 | 6/1 | +2 | 1▲·· |
| R6 | 4 | STREET SWINDLER | 13% | 13/2 | 5/1 | 0 | ···· |
| R6 | 7 | LEAD THE WAY KAY | 11% | 8/1 | 6/1 | 0 | ···· |
| R6 | 5 | CONVO | 10% | 9/1 | 5/1 | -3 | 3▲·· |
| R6 | 9 | GOLDEN HOPE | 8% | 11/1 | 12/1 | +2 | 2▼·· |
| R6 | 2 | SLICE | 5% | 20/1 | 15/1 | 0 | 4▲·· |
| R6 | 3 | KIZAZI | 3% | 30/1 | 20/1 | -1 | 5▼·· |
| R71 3/8 miles turfOptional claiming $50,000, non-winners of one other than maiden, claiming or starterEven pacepass | |||||||
| R7 | 6 | LIVING LIFE | 24% | 3/1 | 3/1 | +4 | 1··· |
| R7 | 4 | MYTHICAL REEL | 20% | 4/1 | 7/2 | +2 | 2··· |
| R7 | 7 | POOR CONNECTION | 15% | 6/1 | 5/1 | +1 | 3··· |
| R7 | 1 | RIMPROTECTOR | 11% | 8/1 | 8/1 | +2 | 4··· |
| R7 | 2 | ATOMIC AGE | 11% | 8/1 | 6/1 | 0 | 5··· |
| R7 | 5 | GROGU | 10% | 9/1 | 4/1 | -6 | 6··· |
| R7 | 8 | SIR PERCIVAL | 5% | 20/1 | 12/1 | -2 | 7··· |
| R7 | 3 | FOMO JOE | 5% | 20/1 | 12/1 | -2 | 8··· |
| R85 1/2 furlongs dirtMaiden claiming $50,000Even pacepass | |||||||
| R8 | 1 | LAST CHANCE DARCY | 13% | 13/2 | 8/1 | +4 | 1··· |
| R8 | 2 | ZADRA | 13% | 7/1 | 7/2 | -5 | 4··· |
| R8 | 5 | SISSEL | 11% | 8/1 | 4/1 | -5 | 8··· |
| R8 | 6 | SOPHIA MIJA | 10% | 9/1 | 8/1 | +2 | 2··· |
| R8 | 7 | GRIEVOUS ANGEL | 9% | 11/1 | 6/1 | -3 | 7··· |
| R8 | 4 | LOW LA BUNNY | 8% | 11/1 | 12/1 | +2 | 5··· |
| R8 | 3 | SNAPSHOT | 8% | 11/1 | 8/1 | -1 | 6··· |
| R8 | 10 | GRAPE JUICE TOO | 8% | 12/1 | 20/1 | +4 | 3··· |
| R8 | 9 | START D' ORO | 6% | 15/1 | 12/1 | 0 | ···· |
| R8 | 11 | ANYA | 6% | 15/1 | 12/1 | 0 | 9··· |
| R8 | 8 | STYLISH COLLEEN | 5% | 20/1 | 20/1 | +1 | 10··· |
| R8 | 12 | VALENTINA JAN | 4% | 25/1 | 20/1 | 0 | 11··· |
Why reads left to right: rank on our power-figure blend, whether the pace shape helps (▲) or hurts (▼), the barn (B) and the morning (W). Green is positive, red negative, a dot means nothing to say. Model and Fair are ours; Board is the morning line.
Price your own ticket
The exotics builder, the sequence builder and the style ranker all run against this card, 8 races of it, at the real minimum and the real takeout. They live on one page so there is one of each to trust.
The rest of the card our read on every race: analysis, not a bet
R2Chalk1Christel Clean21%7/23/1
How it sets up
Go forward7
Pace helps23
The board and our number agree in a $20,000 allowance optional claimer. Three of them want the lead. We make the favourite, #3 DORIE MILLER, 18% against the board's 23%, shorter than we think it should be. Our own top-rated is #1 CHRISTEL CLEAN. We are not betting the race; take it as an opinion, not a play.
Full field ▾
| # | Horse | Model | Fair | Board |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CHRISTEL CLEAN | 21% | 7/2 | 3/1 |
| 5 | CECILIA STREET | 18% | 9/2 | 7/2 |
| 3 | DORIE MILLER | 18% | 9/2 | 5/2 |
| 7 | PAVEL'S ETOILE | 13% | 13/2 | 4/1 |
| 2 | JACKLYN LUCAS | 11% | 8/1 | 10/1 |
| 6 | LINO'S ANGEL | 10% | 9/1 | 8/1 |
| 4 | BERRY VALLEY | 9% | 10/1 | 12/1 |
R3Lean8Golden Club29%5/22/1
How it sets up
Our top-rated horse in a maiden special weight. We make the top one 29% against the board's 26%. The edge is real but sits under our bet line at 3 points.
Full field ▾
| # | Horse | Model | Fair | Board |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | GOLDEN CLUB | 29% | 5/2 | 2/1 |
| 1 | CHISELED IN STONE | 20% | 4/1 | 3/1 |
| 5 | GOLDEN SENTRY | 13% | 13/2 | 5/1 |
| 2 | ENJOY THE RIDE | 13% | 7/1 | 5/1 |
| 6 | INSTINCTIVELY | 8% | 11/1 | 8/1 |
| 3 | HAUNTED HOUSE | 6% | 15/1 | 12/1 |
| 4 | RAPID THIRSTY | 6% | 15/1 | 12/1 |
| 7 | DIAMOND TORNADO | 5% | 20/1 | 12/1 |
R4Lean4Can't Say That22%7/23/1
How it sets up
Go forward2368
Pace helps45
Our number likes this one in a $12,500 claimer, though it is not the top figure. Three of them want the lead. The edge is real but sits under our bet line at 2 points.
Full field ▾
| # | Horse | Model | Fair | Board |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | CAN'T SAY THAT | 22% | 7/2 | 3/1 |
| 7 | GOOD GOLLY DOLLY | 20% | 4/1 | 7/2 |
| 5 | BITTER TRUTH | 14% | 6/1 | 4/1 |
| 6 | DADDYGAVEITTOME | 11% | 8/1 | 8/1 |
| 1 | FORZA PALERMO | 8% | 12/1 | 8/1 |
| 8 | LOVE LOCK | 8% | 12/1 | 8/1 |
| 3 | BUSY MAKING MUNNY | 7% | 12/1 | 12/1 |
| 9 | UNION HEIRESS | 6% | 15/1 | 8/1 |
| 2 | CRYPTO CRUSH | 4% | 20/1 | 20/1 |
R5Chalk3Missed Fortune23%7/25/2
How it sets up
The board and our number agree in a maiden special weight. We make the top one 23% against the board's 23%.
Full field ▾
| # | Horse | Model | Fair | Board |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | MISSED FORTUNE | 23% | 7/2 | 5/2 |
| 8 | HAL OF A DAY | 20% | 4/1 | 3/1 |
| 6 | CAN'TAFFORD NOT TO | 16% | 5/1 | 4/1 |
| 7 | NEVER OBEY | 9% | 10/1 | 8/1 |
| 5 | HALLAGREY | 9% | 10/1 | 8/1 |
| 2 | LIBERTY CAT | 9% | 10/1 | 8/1 |
| 1 | MIDNIGHT BUCK | 7% | 12/1 | 10/1 |
| 4 | BELIEVER | 6% | 15/1 | 12/1 |
R6Chalk8Himari20%4/13/1
How it sets up
Go forward39
Pace helps125
The board and our number agree in a maiden special weight. Three of them want the lead.
Full field ▾
| # | Horse | Model | Fair | Board |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | HIMARI | 20% | 4/1 | 3/1 |
| 6 | MESMERIZE | 16% | 11/2 | 4/1 |
| 1 | SAUCIER | 14% | 13/2 | 6/1 |
| 4 | STREET SWINDLER | 13% | 13/2 | 5/1 |
| 7 | LEAD THE WAY KAY | 11% | 8/1 | 6/1 |
| 5 | CONVO | 10% | 9/1 | 5/1 |
| 9 | GOLDEN HOPE | 8% | 11/1 | 12/1 |
| 2 | SLICE | 5% | 20/1 | 15/1 |
| 3 | KIZAZI | 3% | 30/1 | 20/1 |
R7Lean6Living Life24%3/13/1
How it sets up
Our top-rated horse in a $50,000 allowance optional claimer. We make the top one 24% against the board's 20%. The edge is real but sits under our bet line at 4 points.
Full field ▾
| # | Horse | Model | Fair | Board |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | LIVING LIFE | 24% | 3/1 | 3/1 |
| 4 | MYTHICAL REEL | 20% | 4/1 | 7/2 |
| 7 | POOR CONNECTION | 15% | 6/1 | 5/1 |
| 1 | RIMPROTECTOR | 11% | 8/1 | 8/1 |
| 2 | ATOMIC AGE | 11% | 8/1 | 6/1 |
| 5 | GROGU | 10% | 9/1 | 4/1 |
| 8 | SIR PERCIVAL | 5% | 20/1 | 12/1 |
| 3 | FOMO JOE | 5% | 20/1 | 12/1 |
R8Lean1Last Chance Darcy13%13/28/1
How it sets up
Our top-rated horse in a $50,000 maiden claimer. We make the top one 13% against the board's 9%. The edge is real but sits under our bet line at 4 points.
Full field ▾
| # | Horse | Model | Fair | Board |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LAST CHANCE DARCY | 13% | 13/2 | 8/1 |
| 2 | ZADRA | 13% | 7/1 | 7/2 |
| 5 | SISSEL | 11% | 8/1 | 4/1 |
| 6 | SOPHIA MIJA | 10% | 9/1 | 8/1 |
| 7 | GRIEVOUS ANGEL | 9% | 11/1 | 6/1 |
| 4 | LOW LA BUNNY | 8% | 11/1 | 12/1 |
| 3 | SNAPSHOT | 8% | 11/1 | 8/1 |
| 10 | GRAPE JUICE TOO | 8% | 12/1 | 20/1 |
| 9 | START D' ORO | 6% | 15/1 | 12/1 |
| 11 | ANYA | 6% | 15/1 | 12/1 |
| 8 | STYLISH COLLEEN | 5% | 20/1 | 20/1 |
| 12 | VALENTINA JAN | 4% | 25/1 | 20/1 |
Model v0-heuristic-1.4 · cfg aab788cb · code 041077ef · takeout (DMR) win 15.43% / exacta 22.68% · card SHA-256 b61e301215fa… · Scratch status checked at 11:47 AM ET. Late scratches void at scoring; the card is never edited.
Verifying this card
| Downloadable artifact hash | b61e301215faf08d48fca74da3f86c01aa958ca6ade0f8bb85d6fe8420092c8c |
|---|---|
| OpenTimestamps status | OpenTimestamps calendar commitment; Bitcoin confirmation pending |
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