Del Mar, Sun Jul 26, 2026

11 races · published 12:03 AM ET · card locked

4 value plays today · 7 races we're passing

StatusCompleted · races run

First post5:00 PM ET

Scratch checkChecked · 5:49 PM ET

Archived card · races already run

These plays were published and locked before first post on Sun Jul 26, 2026. They are kept exactly as published, wins and losses alike, and are no longer actionable. Prices shown were the qualifying prices at publication.

Every selection we have ever published is graded on the record. The methodology is on the methodology page.

Edge of the Day

5COME ON OM

Race 5 · 5 furlongs turf

29%model5/2fair4/1boardWINpaid at the close

Our biggest edge on the card today (+13 pts over the board), the crowd will likely bet it down, so expect a shorter number, so size it smaller. Chosen by rule: the flag with the most value, graded like any other.

Today at Del MarMostly Cloudy, 69°F, wind 0 to 5 mph · rain 1%, no off-track flagNWS forecast

Flags 4 of 11 races

New here? How to read a flag · Model, Fair, Board and the pari-mutuel closing rule, explained once.

Today’s plays4 flags

RaceHorseModelBoardEdge

R44Rabeeba22%5/1+8 pts R55Come On Om29%4/1+13 pts R85Emma G14%12/1+8 pts R95Gold Phoenix29%3/1+9 pts

Race 4 · 1 mile · dirt · Optional claiming $50,000, non-winners of one other than maiden, claiming or starterFlag

4RABEEBA

Model

Fair

Board

22%

7/2

5/1

our win %

break-even

the morning line

▸ WIN BET · paid at the close

Price may move A mid board price, it can hold or shorten into post. You are paid the closing price either way, so bet the horse and take the number you get.

Ranks #1 in our power figure blend.

Data · Brisnet

How it sets up

Even pace6 going

No one horse is entitled to the lead. Two have shown early speed, under the count that would rate the race contested.

It tops our own win number, though only just, with 0.2 points in it.

Full field ▾

#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board
4	RABEEBA ◀	22%	7/2	5/1
5	CIPRIANI	22%	7/2	5/2
2	GOODNIGHT NELLIE	20%	4/1	4/1
1	SHARED FUTURE	14%	6/1	7/2
6	QUICK KATE	14%	6/1	4/1
3	MEDJUGORJE	8%	11/1	5/1

Race 5 · 5 furlongs · turf · Maiden special weightFlag

5COME ON OM

Model

Fair

Board

29%

5/2

4/1

our win %

break-even

the morning line

▸ WIN BET · paid at the close

Likely bet down A short board price the late money bets down. Still a win play, but expect a shorter number by post, pari-mutuel pays the closing price, so the edge is thinner here. Size it smaller.

Ranks #1 in our power figure blend.

Data · Brisnet

How it sets up

Even pace10 going

Nobody in here is clearly entitled to the lead. A field this size means traffic is the risk in here, not the pace. Two have shown early speed, under the count that would rate the race contested.

The model’s read ▾

This is the widest gap on today’s card. When our number is that far clear of the board, the disagreement is the whole reason to be here.

It tops our own win number, 9.2 points clear of the next one.

Full field ▾

#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board
5	COME ON OM ◀	29%	5/2	4/1
2	VERENICE	20%	4/1	3/1
7	ZUZU'S CLASSIC GAL	13%	13/2	7/2
9	DANZING DAISY	8%	11/1	8/1
10	DRULINER	8%	12/1	8/1
4	MUSTANG KNICKY	5%	15/1	12/1
3	RUNNING IRON	5%	15/1	8/1
1	FIRST LIGHT	5%	20/1	12/1
8	GIRL FIRE	4%	25/1	20/1
6	HAYLEY AMBER	3%	30/1	20/1

Race 8 · 6 furlongs · dirt · Claiming $16,000, non-winners of three lifetimeFlag

5EMMA G

Model

Fair

Board

14%

13/2

12/1

our win %

break-even

the morning line

▸ WIN BET · paid at the close

Price should hold A long board price the late money tends to leave alone, so you should still get a strong number at post, the fullest version of the edge.

Ranks #2 in our power figure blend; closer in a contested-pace setup.

Data · Brisnet

How it sets up

Contested5 of 8 want the lead

Go forward18

Pace helps256

Five of the 8 are entitled to the early lead, so the opening quarter over six furlongs on dirt in a $16,000 claimer should be contested rather than soft.

The model’s read ▾

It rates fourth on our own win number, 7.3 points behind the top, and with 5 of them wanting the front the early fractions should be honest.

5 of the 8 want the front over six furlongs on dirt, and this one profiles to come from off it, so we pushed its number up for that (×1.1).

Full field ▾

#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board
7	DANZING FLYER	21%	7/2	7/2
3	SPOTTED HAZE	16%	5/1	5/2
6	DONTTELLOURWIVES	16%	5/1	5/1
5	EMMA G ◀	14%	13/2	12/1
8	BEAR'S BOARD	11%	8/1	4/1
1	HOW LOVELY	9%	10/1	5/1
4	LOVELY MEDAGLIA	8%	11/1	12/1
2	CAN YOU DREAM	5%	20/1	15/1

Race 9 · 1 1/8 miles · turf · Grade 2 stakesFlag

5GOLD PHOENIX

Model

Fair

Board

29%

5/2

3/1

our win %

break-even

the morning line

▸ WIN BET · paid at the close

Likely bet down A short board price the late money bets down. Still a win play, but expect a shorter number by post, pari-mutuel pays the closing price, so the edge is thinner here. Size it smaller.

Ranks #2 in our power figure blend.

Data · Brisnet

How it sets up

Even pace9 going

Nothing in here has a clear claim on the lead. Only one has shown genuine early speed, without enough company to rate the race contested.

The model’s read ▾

GOLD PHOENIX is one of the more likely winners we flag today, and the board still prices it like a longer shot. The gap is smaller in points than some, but it is on a horse we genuinely rate to win.

It rates second on our own win number, 5.0 points behind the top.

Full field ▾

#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board
8	FORMIDABLE MAN	34%	2/1	7/5
5	GOLD PHOENIX ◀	29%	5/2	3/1
4	ALMENDARES	8%	11/1	8/1
2	MONDEGO	7%	12/1	8/1
7	SEAL TEAM	7%	15/1	8/1
6	STAY HOT	6%	15/1	10/1
9	MI HERMANO RAMON	4%	25/1	20/1
3	CABO SPIRIT	4%	25/1	12/1
1	ASTRONOMER	2%	50/1	20/1

The whole card every runner, our number beside the board

Every runner on the card: our win probability and fair odds beside the morning line, with the edge between them. Sortable by any column.
R	#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board	Edge	Why
R11 mile turfOptional claiming $50,000, non-winners of one other than maiden, claiming or starterContested pace likely (3 early-speed types)pass
R1	7	SAREEHA	24%	3/1	5/2	+1	1▲··
R1	1	CANDY BAR	17%	5/1	7/2	-1	3▲··
R1	4	SHOCKING GREY	15%	11/2	6/1	+4	2···
R1	6	CAMERON SLOUGH	13%	13/2	4/1	-3	4···
R1	8	CORPORAL VIOLETTE	9%	10/1	6/1	-2	7▲··
R1	5	LUBIE'S MUSIC	8%	11/1	12/1	+2	5···
R1	2	MARS MAGIC	7%	15/1	15/1	+2	6···
R1	3	IMA JOKER	7%	15/1	8/1	-2	8···
R21 mile dirtMaiden special weightEven pacepass
R2	2	VAN GOGH STYLE	23%	7/2	2/1	-4	2···
R2	5	ZAKIEL	22%	7/2	5/2	-1	3···
R2	4	DE FACTO	20%	4/1	5/1	+6	1···
R2	3	MICKEY	16%	5/1	3/1	-4	4···
R2	6	PRACTICAL BLAME	11%	8/1	6/1	-1	5···
R2	1	BELLO ROSSO	8%	12/1	15/1	+3	6···
R31 mile turfMaiden special weightLone speedpass
R3	6	LET HER FLY	27%	3/1	5/2	+4	1···
R3	1	DREAM SEEKER	20%	4/1	3/1	-1	····
R3	3	AUTOMATIC PRESS	16%	5/1	4/1	0	2▲··
R3	8	WILDCATTER	11%	8/1	6/1	0	····
R3	7	SUPER SPIKE	9%	10/1	8/1	0	····
R3	5	SAUDI RUNNER	7%	12/1	10/1	0	····
R3	2	DEE SNOOK	6%	15/1	8/1	-3	3···
R3	4	OSCAR STORM	4%	25/1	20/1	0	····
R41 mile dirtOptional claiming $50,000, non-winners of one other than maiden, claiming or starterEven pace1 flag
R4	4	RABEEBA	22%	7/2	5/1	+8	1···
R4	5	CIPRIANI	22%	7/2	5/2	-1	3···
R4	2	GOODNIGHT NELLIE	20%	4/1	4/1	+4	2···
R4	1	SHARED FUTURE	14%	6/1	7/2	-4	5···
R4	6	QUICK KATE	14%	6/1	4/1	-2	4···
R4	3	MEDJUGORJE	8%	11/1	5/1	-5	6···
R55 furlongs turfMaiden special weightEven pace1 flag
R5	5	COME ON OM	29%	5/2	4/1	+13	1···
R5	2	VERENICE	20%	4/1	3/1	0	····
R5	7	ZUZU'S CLASSIC GAL	13%	13/2	7/2	-4	2···
R5	9	DANZING DAISY	8%	11/1	8/1	0	3···
R5	10	DRULINER	8%	12/1	8/1	-1	4···
R5	4	MUSTANG KNICKY	5%	15/1	12/1	-1	5···
R5	3	RUNNING IRON	5%	15/1	8/1	-3	7···
R5	1	FIRST LIGHT	5%	20/1	12/1	-2	6···
R5	8	GIRL FIRE	4%	25/1	20/1	0	····
R5	6	HAYLEY AMBER	3%	30/1	20/1	-1	8···
R65 1/2 furlongs dirtMaiden claiming $16,000Even pacepass
R6	5	PERFECT SMILE	17%	5/1	7/2	0	1···
R6	1	COTTA RIDE	13%	13/2	4/1	-2	3···
R6	3	HOW IT IS	11%	8/1	12/1	+5	2···
R6	11	MY BABYCAKES	11%	8/1	3/1	-9	8···
R6	4	SPY IN DISGUISE	10%	9/1	20/1	+6	4···
R6	2	SALTY SISS	9%	10/1	6/1	-2	5···
R6	12	SURPRISE D' ORO	7%	12/1	12/1	+1	6···
R6	8	CINDYS BEACH HOUSE	6%	15/1	12/1	0	7···
R6	9	QUEEN OF BANTRY	5%	20/1	15/1	0	····
R6	7	BORACAY MISS	4%	20/1	20/1	+1	9···
R6	6	CHAMPAGNIA	4%	25/1	20/1	0	····
R6	10	SHEDUNIT	2%	50/1	30/1	0	10···
R75 furlongs turfOptional claiming $50,000, non-winners of one other than maiden, claiming or starterContested pace likely (6 early-speed types)pass
R7	2	PRIVATE GEM	18%	9/2	4/1	+2	1▲··
R7	1	ROGUE LEGEND	13%	13/2	8/1	+4	2▲··
R7	3	MESCALERO	11%	8/1	8/1	+2	3···
R7	4	POSEIDON'S LAW	11%	8/1	3/1	-9	9▲··
R7	7	VALIANT SON	10%	9/1	10/1	+3	5···
R7	8	LEGAL HEIR	10%	9/1	8/1	+1	4▼··
R7	9	YACOWLEF	10%	9/1	6/1	-2	7···
R7	6	SIR ROCKET	9%	11/1	12/1	+3	6···
R7	10	RE ARMED JON	6%	15/1	12/1	0	8▼··
R7	5	DR. MY EYES	3%	30/1	12/1	-4	10▼··
R86 furlongs dirtClaiming $16,000, non-winners of three lifetimeContested pace likely (5 early-speed types)1 flag
R8	7	DANZING FLYER	21%	7/2	7/2	+3	1···
R8	3	SPOTTED HAZE	16%	5/1	5/2	-6	4···
R8	6	DONTTELLOURWIVES	16%	5/1	5/1	+3	2▲··
R8	5	EMMA G	14%	13/2	12/1	+8	2▲··
R8	8	BEAR'S BOARD	11%	8/1	4/1	-5	5▼··
R8	1	HOW LOVELY	9%	10/1	5/1	-5	7▼··
R8	4	LOVELY MEDAGLIA	8%	11/1	12/1	+2	6···
R8	2	CAN YOU DREAM	5%	20/1	15/1	0	8▲··
R91 1/8 miles turfGrade 2 stakesEven pace1 flag
R9	8	FORMIDABLE MAN	34%	2/1	7/5	+1	1···
R9	5	GOLD PHOENIX	29%	5/2	3/1	+9	2···
R9	4	ALMENDARES	8%	11/1	8/1	-1	3···
R9	2	MONDEGO	7%	12/1	8/1	-2	4···
R9	7	SEAL TEAM	7%	15/1	8/1	-2	5···
R9	6	STAY HOT	6%	15/1	10/1	-1	6···
R9	9	MI HERMANO RAMON	4%	25/1	20/1	0	7···
R9	3	CABO SPIRIT	4%	25/1	12/1	-2	8···
R9	1	ASTRONOMER	2%	50/1	20/1	-2	9···
R101 mile dirtClaiming $10,000Contested pace likely (5 early-speed types)pass
R10	10	MONGOLIAN MAX	16%	11/2	7/2	-2	2···
R10	4	ROYAL 'N RANDO	14%	6/1	3/1	-6	4···
R10	6	SHORTMAN	13%	13/2	12/1	+7	1▲··
R10	8	MICI'S EXPRESS	11%	8/1	4/1	-5	7···
R10	3	OOBUBBAKAKAYO	10%	9/1	10/1	+3	3···
R10	2	CUPID'S CRUSADER	9%	10/1	8/1	+1	6▲··
R10	9	CATHAL	8%	11/1	12/1	+2	5···
R10	1	BIG JUANITO	8%	12/1	8/1	-1	8···
R10	5	SUNSET STORM	5%	20/1	15/1	0	9▼··
R10	7	LEVON	5%	20/1	20/1	+1	10···
R111 mile turfOptional claiming $20,000, non-winners of one other than maiden, claiming or starterContested pace likely (3 early-speed types)pass
R11	5	GOJE	19%	9/2	7/2	+1	1···
R11	2	RYAN'S GIRL	15%	6/1	5/1	+1	2▼··
R11	4	FIBONACCIS RIDE	12%	7/1	8/1	+4	3▲··
R11	11	WILD WEST COAST	10%	9/1	8/1	+2	4···
R11	10	HELLO KID O KID O	10%	9/1	12/1	+4	5▲··
R11	8	NEWPORT DREAMZ	8%	11/1	8/1	0	6···
R11	7	EIGHTIES	7%	12/1	4/1	-9	10▼··
R11	1	IT'S A FAIRLIFE	6%	15/1	12/1	0	7···
R11	3	MPERFECTION	5%	20/1	10/1	-3	11···
R11	6	KOOL MARIAH	4%	25/1	20/1	0	8▼··
R11	9	WHOPPER FACTOR	4%	25/1	20/1	0	9···

Why reads left to right: rank on our power-figure blend, whether the pace shape helps (▲) or hurts (▼), the barn (B) and the morning (W). Green is positive, red negative, a dot means nothing to say. Model and Fair are ours; Board is the morning line.

Price your own ticket

The exotics builder, the sequence builder and the style ranker all run against this card, 11 races of it, at the real minimum and the real takeout. They live on one page so there is one of each to trust.

Open the builders →

The rest of the card our read on every race: analysis, not a bet

R1Chalk7Sareeha24%3/15/2

How it sets up

turfContested3 of 8 want the lead

Pace helps178

The board and our number agree in a $50,000 allowance optional claimer. Three of them want the lead.

Full field ▾

#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board
7	SAREEHA	24%	3/1	5/2
1	CANDY BAR	17%	5/1	7/2
4	SHOCKING GREY	15%	11/2	6/1
6	CAMERON SLOUGH	13%	13/2	4/1
8	CORPORAL VIOLETTE	9%	10/1	6/1
5	LUBIE'S MUSIC	8%	11/1	12/1
2	MARS MAGIC	7%	15/1	15/1
3	IMA JOKER	7%	15/1	8/1

R2Chalk2Van Gogh Style23%7/22/1

How it sets up

dirtEven pace6 going

The board and our number agree in a maiden special weight. We make the top one 23% against the board's 27%.

Full field ▾

#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board
2	VAN GOGH STYLE	23%	7/2	2/1
5	ZAKIEL	22%	7/2	5/2
4	DE FACTO	20%	4/1	5/1
3	MICKEY	16%	5/1	3/1
6	PRACTICAL BLAME	11%	8/1	6/1
1	BELLO ROSSO	8%	12/1	15/1

R3Lean6Let Her Fly27%3/15/2

How it sets up

turfLone speedone gets loose on the lead, 8 going

Alone on the lead3

Our top-rated horse in a maiden special weight. One horse looks alone on the lead, which our pace adjustment credits. The edge is real but sits under our bet line at 4 points.

Full field ▾

#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board
6	LET HER FLY	27%	3/1	5/2
1	DREAM SEEKER	20%	4/1	3/1
3	AUTOMATIC PRESS	16%	5/1	4/1
8	WILDCATTER	11%	8/1	6/1
7	SUPER SPIKE	9%	10/1	8/1
5	SAUDI RUNNER	7%	12/1	10/1
2	DEE SNOOK	6%	15/1	8/1
4	OSCAR STORM	4%	25/1	20/1

R6Scramble5Perfect Smile17%5/17/2

How it sets up

dirtEven pace12 going

A full field of twelve. Nothing separates the top two by more than 3.9 points. We make the top one 17% against the board's 17%.

Full field ▾

#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board
5	PERFECT SMILE	17%	5/1	7/2
1	COTTA RIDE	13%	13/2	4/1
3	HOW IT IS	11%	8/1	12/1
11	MY BABYCAKES	11%	8/1	3/1
4	SPY IN DISGUISE	10%	9/1	20/1
2	SALTY SISS	9%	10/1	6/1
12	SURPRISE D' ORO	7%	12/1	12/1
8	CINDYS BEACH HOUSE	6%	15/1	12/1
9	QUEEN OF BANTRY	5%	20/1	15/1
7	BORACAY MISS	4%	20/1	20/1
6	CHAMPAGNIA	4%	25/1	20/1
10	SHEDUNIT	2%	50/1	30/1

R7Chalk2Private Gem18%9/24/1

How it sets up

turfContested6 of 10 want the lead

Go forward5810

Pace helps124

The board and our number agree in a $50,000 allowance optional claimer. Six horses want the front, so the early fractions should be honest. We make the favourite, #4 POSEIDON'S LAW, 11% against the board's 20%, shorter than we think it should be. Our own top-rated is #2 PRIVATE GEM. We are not betting the race; take it as an opinion, not a play.

Full field ▾

#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board
2	PRIVATE GEM	18%	9/2	4/1
1	ROGUE LEGEND	13%	13/2	8/1
3	MESCALERO	11%	8/1	8/1
4	POSEIDON'S LAW	11%	8/1	3/1
7	VALIANT SON	10%	9/1	10/1
8	LEGAL HEIR	10%	9/1	8/1
9	YACOWLEF	10%	9/1	6/1
6	SIR ROCKET	9%	11/1	12/1
10	RE ARMED JON	6%	15/1	12/1
5	DR. MY EYES	3%	30/1	12/1

R10Scramble10Mongolian Max16%11/27/2

How it sets up

dirtContested5 of 10 want the lead

Go forward5

Pace helps26

A full field of ten. Nothing separates the top two by more than 1.7 points. Five horses want the front, so the early fractions should be honest. We make the favourite, #4 ROYAL 'N RANDO, 14% against the board's 20%, shorter than we think it should be. Our own top-rated is #10 MONGOLIAN MAX. We are not betting the race; take it as an opinion, not a play.

Full field ▾

#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board
10	MONGOLIAN MAX	16%	11/2	7/2
4	ROYAL 'N RANDO	14%	6/1	3/1
6	SHORTMAN	13%	13/2	12/1
8	MICI'S EXPRESS	11%	8/1	4/1
3	OOBUBBAKAKAYO	10%	9/1	10/1
2	CUPID'S CRUSADER	9%	10/1	8/1
9	CATHAL	8%	11/1	12/1
1	BIG JUANITO	8%	12/1	8/1
5	SUNSET STORM	5%	20/1	15/1
7	LEVON	5%	20/1	20/1

R11Chalk5Goje19%9/27/2

How it sets up

turfContested3 of 11 want the lead

Go forward267

Pace helps410

The board and our number agree in a $20,000 allowance optional claimer. Three of them want the lead.

Full field ▾

#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board
5	GOJE	19%	9/2	7/2
2	RYAN'S GIRL	15%	6/1	5/1
4	FIBONACCIS RIDE	12%	7/1	8/1
11	WILD WEST COAST	10%	9/1	8/1
10	HELLO KID O KID O	10%	9/1	12/1
8	NEWPORT DREAMZ	8%	11/1	8/1
7	EIGHTIES	7%	12/1	4/1
1	IT'S A FAIRLIFE	6%	15/1	12/1
3	MPERFECTION	5%	20/1	10/1
6	KOOL MARIAH	4%	25/1	20/1
9	WHOPPER FACTOR	4%	25/1	20/1

Model v0-heuristic-1.4 · cfg aab788cb · code 3c797c7f · takeout (DMR) win 15.43% / exacta 22.68% · card SHA-256 ee2f7ccdc08a… · Scratch status checked at 5:49 PM ET. Late scratches void at scoring; the card is never edited.

This card was produced under the methodology version identified at publication. Detailed implementation parameters are proprietary and are no longer displayed. The original selections, probabilities, prices, timestamps, grading and integrity evidence are unchanged, and the locked card file below is the original. How to read this card · the method in full · every call graded

Verifying this card

Downloadable artifact hash	`1c5d42b418bbde69146f2cfadc58ae9d2178cb6f2571024f56eef618f6ac5f1b`
Original recorded lock hash	`ee2f7ccdc08a723a5308e68a9c353669da3986c4cfafe297b023b57b8bc18e2a`
OpenTimestamps status	Bitcoin confirmed · block 959652

This card was generated on Windows. Its original lock hash was calculated from CRLF-formatted bytes before Git stored the same JSON with LF line endings. The selections and JSON values are unchanged. Use the downloadable artifact hash above to verify the public file. Full correction record · chc-2026-07-26-dmr-card-01.

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