Del Mar, Fri Aug 21, 2026
These plays were published and locked before first post on Fri Aug 21, 2026. They are kept exactly as published, wins and losses alike, and are no longer actionable. Prices shown were the qualifying prices at publication.
Every selection we have ever published is graded on the record. The methodology is on the methodology page.
New here? How to read a flag · Model, Fair, Board and the pari-mutuel closing rule, explained once.
Four of the 7 are entitled to the early lead, so the opening quarter over five furlongs on turf in a $25,000 claimer should be contested rather than soft.
The model’s read ▾
It tops our own win number, 8.5 points clear of the next one, and with 4 of them wanting the front the early fractions should be honest.
4 of the 7 want the front over five furlongs on turf, and this one profiles to come from off it, so we pushed its number up for that (×1.1).
Full field ▾
| # | Horse | Model | Fair | Board |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | HURRICANE WAY ◀ | 28% | 5/2 | 3/1 |
| 2 | LUCK LUCKY | 19% | 4/1 | 2/1 |
| 6 | PROUD RACER | 18% | 9/2 | 7/2 |
| 1 | HARBOR CODE | 15% | 11/2 | 4/1 |
| 4 | PRECISION | 10% | 9/1 | 8/1 |
| 5 | AMIGO G A | 7% | 15/1 | 20/1 |
| 3 | LUCKY AND GONE | 3% | 30/1 | 12/1 |
One of the 8 looks alone on the lead, clear of the field on the early figures over five furlongs on turf, with nothing else in here entitled to go with it.
The model’s read ▾
This is the widest gap on today’s card. When our number is that far clear of the board, the disagreement is the whole reason to be here.
It tops our own win number, 17.5 points clear of the next one, in a race where one of them looks like getting loose on the lead.
In a field of 8 it profiles as the lone speed over five furlongs on turf, likely uncontested on the front end, and we bumped it for that (×1.15).
Full field ▾
| # | Horse | Model | Fair | Board |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | SEEKING ATTENTION ◀ | 33% | 2/1 | 5/2 |
| 8 | ARDENTE | 15% | 11/2 | 4/1 |
| 1 | AUTUMN LEAVES | 15% | 11/2 | 4/1 |
| 6 | GOT THE RING | 14% | 6/1 | 7/2 |
| 4 | LOOSE LOOSEY | 11% | 8/1 | 6/1 |
| 5 | TOKALA | 6% | 15/1 | 12/1 |
| 3 | MAD PURSUIT | 4% | 25/1 | 12/1 |
| 7 | MI FLECHA | 2% | 50/1 | 20/1 |
No one horse is entitled to the lead. Two have shown early speed, under the count that would rate the race contested.
The model’s read ▾
CANTO DELLA TERRA is one of the more likely winners we flag today, and the board still prices it like a longer shot. The gap is smaller in points than some, but it is on a horse we genuinely rate to win.
It tops our own win number, 7.8 points clear of the next one.
Full field ▾
| # | Horse | Model | Fair | Board |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CANTO DELLA TERRA ◀ | 28% | 5/2 | 3/1 |
| 4 | RAW ABILITY | 20% | 4/1 | 5/2 |
| 2 | TAHINI | 17% | 5/1 | 2/1 |
| 3 | RIBBONS | 16% | 5/1 | 5/1 |
| 5 | PURA VIDA PRINCESA | 11% | 15/2 | 6/1 |
| 6 | DREAMING OF ABBA | 6% | 15/1 | 12/1 |
The whole card every runner, our number beside the board
| R | # | Horse | Model | Fair | Board | Edge | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R15 furlongs turfMaiden special weightEven pacepass | |||||||
| R1 | 6 | SMASHING MACHINE | 24% | 3/1 | 5/2 | +1 | ··B· |
| R1 | 4 | RUNNING SPARTAN | 19% | 4/1 | 3/1 | 0 | 1··· |
| R1 | 1 | MICHAEL | 16% | 11/2 | 4/1 | 0 | ···· |
| R1 | 5 | FUZZY STARE | 13% | 13/2 | 6/1 | +2 | 2··· |
| R1 | 2 | PIEDRA FRIA | 13% | 13/2 | 5/1 | 0 | ···· |
| R1 | 7 | SEMPER STRONG | 13% | 13/2 | 5/1 | 0 | ···· |
| R1 | 3 | SCORCHING HOT | 2% | 50/1 | 20/1 | -2 | 3·B· |
| R25 1/2 furlongs dirtMaiden claiming $62,500Lone speedpass | |||||||
| R2 | 2 | CAPTAIN SHREVE | 38% | 8/5 | 7/5 | +4 | 1··· |
| R2 | 4 | SHARONS MAXFIELD | 15% | 11/2 | 3/1 | -5 | 3··· |
| R2 | 3 | B G BULLET | 15% | 11/2 | 6/1 | +4 | 2··· |
| R2 | 5 | GANDALF | 14% | 6/1 | 7/2 | -4 | 6▲·· |
| R2 | 6 | FLAUBERT | 10% | 9/1 | 6/1 | -2 | 5··· |
| R2 | 1 | FREDDY FIVE FOUR | 8% | 11/1 | 15/1 | +3 | 4··· |
| R35 furlongs turfClaiming $25,000, non-winners of two lifetimeContested pace likely (4 early-speed types)1 flag | |||||||
| R3 | 7 | HURRICANE WAY | 28% | 5/2 | 3/1 | +8 | 1▲·· |
| R3 | 2 | LUCK LUCKY | 19% | 4/1 | 2/1 | -8 | 4·B· |
| R3 | 6 | PROUD RACER | 18% | 9/2 | 7/2 | 0 | 3▲·· |
| R3 | 1 | HARBOR CODE | 15% | 11/2 | 4/1 | -1 | 2▼·· |
| R3 | 4 | PRECISION | 10% | 9/1 | 8/1 | +1 | 5▲·· |
| R3 | 5 | AMIGO G A | 7% | 15/1 | 20/1 | +3 | 6··· |
| R3 | 3 | LUCKY AND GONE | 3% | 30/1 | 12/1 | -3 | 7·B· |
| R45 1/2 furlongs dirtOptional claiming $20,000Contested pace likely (4 early-speed types)pass | |||||||
| R4 | 1 | BILLIE HOLIDAY | 18% | 9/2 | 5/2 | -4 | 4▲·· |
| R4 | 2 | SMILE BABY SMILE | 17% | 5/1 | 4/1 | +1 | 1··· |
| R4 | 7 | DOTTIE HINSON | 15% | 11/2 | 7/2 | -2 | 6▲·· |
| R4 | 4 | LA SILENCIOSA | 15% | 11/2 | 5/1 | +2 | 2▼·· |
| R4 | 5 | BERRY VALLEY | 14% | 6/1 | 6/1 | +3 | 3··· |
| R4 | 3 | TIMEKEEPER'S CHARM | 12% | 15/2 | 5/1 | -1 | 5▼·· |
| R4 | 6 | MARS MAGIC | 9% | 11/1 | 12/1 | +3 | 7··· |
| R55 furlongs turfMaiden special weightLone speed1 flag | |||||||
| R5 | 2 | SEEKING ATTENTION | 33% | 2/1 | 5/2 | +10 | 1▲·· |
| R5 | 8 | ARDENTE | 15% | 11/2 | 4/1 | -1 | ···· |
| R5 | 1 | AUTUMN LEAVES | 15% | 11/2 | 4/1 | -1 | ···· |
| R5 | 6 | GOT THE RING | 14% | 6/1 | 7/2 | -3 | 2··· |
| R5 | 4 | LOOSE LOOSEY | 11% | 8/1 | 6/1 | 0 | ···· |
| R5 | 5 | TOKALA | 6% | 15/1 | 12/1 | 0 | 3··· |
| R5 | 3 | MAD PURSUIT | 4% | 25/1 | 12/1 | -2 | 4··· |
| R5 | 7 | MI FLECHA | 2% | 50/1 | 20/1 | -2 | 5·B· |
| R66 furlongs dirtClaiming $40,000Contested pace likely (3 early-speed types)pass | |||||||
| R6 | 5 | GHOST OF MIDNIGHT | 20% | 4/1 | 4/1 | +4 | 1▲·· |
| R6 | 4 | RED FLAG | 18% | 9/2 | 3/1 | -2 | 2▲·· |
| R6 | 3 | FOR ALL MANKIND | 14% | 6/1 | 6/1 | +2 | 3▲·· |
| R6 | 1 | CENTRAL DISPATCH | 12% | 15/2 | 5/1 | -2 | 5··· |
| R6 | 2 | THIRTY TWO CHUNK | 11% | 8/1 | 8/1 | +2 | 4··· |
| R6 | 7 | TESSUTO | 9% | 10/1 | 6/1 | -2 | 7··· |
| R6 | 6 | DEL MAR JERRY | 8% | 11/1 | 5/1 | -5 | 8··· |
| R6 | 8 | ZEUS' WAR | 8% | 12/1 | 12/1 | +2 | 6··· |
| R71 mile turfOptional claiming $100,000Even pace1 flag | |||||||
| R7 | 1 | CANTO DELLA TERRA | 28% | 5/2 | 3/1 | +8 | 1··· |
| R7 | 4 | RAW ABILITY | 20% | 4/1 | 5/2 | -2 | 2··· |
| R7 | 2 | TAHINI | 17% | 5/1 | 2/1 | -9 | 4··· |
| R7 | 3 | RIBBONS | 16% | 5/1 | 5/1 | +3 | 3··· |
| R7 | 5 | PURA VIDA PRINCESA | 11% | 15/2 | 6/1 | 0 | 5··· |
| R7 | 6 | DREAMING OF ABBA | 6% | 15/1 | 12/1 | 0 | 6··· |
| R85 1/2 furlongs dirtMaiden claiming $50,000Even pacepass | |||||||
| R8 | 6 | STANFORD WARRIOR | 21% | 4/1 | 3/1 | +1 | ··B· |
| R8 | 2 | POPPI'S CHARLIE | 18% | 9/2 | 5/1 | +5 | 1··· |
| R8 | 5 | HERE COMES TOO TOO | 12% | 7/1 | 4/1 | -3 | 3··· |
| R8 | 3 | SMOKEM WICKED | 10% | 9/1 | 8/1 | +1 | 2·B· |
| R8 | 8 | NO LIMIT | 9% | 10/1 | 6/1 | -2 | 5·B· |
| R8 | 1 | DICK IRA BONG | 8% | 11/1 | 8/1 | -1 | 4··· |
| R8 | 9 | JACKALOPE | 6% | 15/1 | 12/1 | 0 | ···· |
| R8 | 4 | THUNDER RIDING | 6% | 15/1 | 12/1 | 0 | 6·B· |
| R8 | 10 | CATFISH CORY | 5% | 20/1 | 15/1 | 0 | ···· |
| R8 | 7 | LOVE DOCTOR | 5% | 20/1 | 15/1 | 0 | ···· |
Why reads left to right: rank on our power-figure blend, whether the pace shape helps (▲) or hurts (▼), the barn (B) and the morning (W). Green is positive, red negative, a dot means nothing to say. Model and Fair are ours; Board is the morning line.
Price your own ticket
The exotics builder, the sequence builder and the style ranker all run against this card, 8 races of it, at the real minimum and the real takeout. They live on one page so there is one of each to trust.
Full field ▾
| # | Horse | Model | Fair | Board |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | SMASHING MACHINE | 24% | 3/1 | 5/2 |
| 4 | RUNNING SPARTAN | 19% | 4/1 | 3/1 |
| 1 | MICHAEL | 16% | 11/2 | 4/1 |
| 5 | FUZZY STARE | 13% | 13/2 | 6/1 |
| 2 | PIEDRA FRIA | 13% | 13/2 | 5/1 |
| 7 | SEMPER STRONG | 13% | 13/2 | 5/1 |
| 3 | SCORCHING HOT | 2% | 50/1 | 20/1 |
Full field ▾
| # | Horse | Model | Fair | Board |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | CAPTAIN SHREVE | 38% | 8/5 | 7/5 |
| 4 | SHARONS MAXFIELD | 15% | 11/2 | 3/1 |
| 3 | B G BULLET | 15% | 11/2 | 6/1 |
| 5 | GANDALF | 14% | 6/1 | 7/2 |
| 6 | FLAUBERT | 10% | 9/1 | 6/1 |
| 1 | FREDDY FIVE FOUR | 8% | 11/1 | 15/1 |
Full field ▾
| # | Horse | Model | Fair | Board |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BILLIE HOLIDAY | 18% | 9/2 | 5/2 |
| 2 | SMILE BABY SMILE | 17% | 5/1 | 4/1 |
| 7 | DOTTIE HINSON | 15% | 11/2 | 7/2 |
| 4 | LA SILENCIOSA | 15% | 11/2 | 5/1 |
| 5 | BERRY VALLEY | 14% | 6/1 | 6/1 |
| 3 | TIMEKEEPER'S CHARM | 12% | 15/2 | 5/1 |
| 6 | MARS MAGIC | 9% | 11/1 | 12/1 |
Full field ▾
| # | Horse | Model | Fair | Board |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | GHOST OF MIDNIGHT | 20% | 4/1 | 4/1 |
| 4 | RED FLAG | 18% | 9/2 | 3/1 |
| 3 | FOR ALL MANKIND | 14% | 6/1 | 6/1 |
| 1 | CENTRAL DISPATCH | 12% | 15/2 | 5/1 |
| 2 | THIRTY TWO CHUNK | 11% | 8/1 | 8/1 |
| 7 | TESSUTO | 9% | 10/1 | 6/1 |
| 6 | DEL MAR JERRY | 8% | 11/1 | 5/1 |
| 8 | ZEUS' WAR | 8% | 12/1 | 12/1 |
Full field ▾
| # | Horse | Model | Fair | Board |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | STANFORD WARRIOR | 21% | 4/1 | 3/1 |
| 2 | POPPI'S CHARLIE | 18% | 9/2 | 5/1 |
| 5 | HERE COMES TOO TOO | 12% | 7/1 | 4/1 |
| 3 | SMOKEM WICKED | 10% | 9/1 | 8/1 |
| 8 | NO LIMIT | 9% | 10/1 | 6/1 |
| 1 | DICK IRA BONG | 8% | 11/1 | 8/1 |
| 9 | JACKALOPE | 6% | 15/1 | 12/1 |
| 4 | THUNDER RIDING | 6% | 15/1 | 12/1 |
| 10 | CATFISH CORY | 5% | 20/1 | 15/1 |
| 7 | LOVE DOCTOR | 5% | 20/1 | 15/1 |
Model v0-heuristic-1.4 · cfg aab788cb · code d22ad90a · takeout (DMR) win 15.43% / exacta 22.68% · card SHA-256 30b9596cff16… · Scratch status checked at 11:55 AM ET. Late scratches void at scoring; the card is never edited.
Verifying this card
| Downloadable artifact hash | 30b9596cff166c34440b56273f8db8f747abc6d439b93e5af5e0106ca6c0efa4 |
|---|---|
| OpenTimestamps status | OpenTimestamps calendar commitment; Bitcoin confirmation pending |