Del Mar, Sat Aug 1, 2026

11 races · published 9:46 AM ET · card locked

4 value plays today · 7 races we're passing

StatusCompleted · races run

First post5:00 PM ET

Scratch checkChecked · 9:46 AM ET

Archived card · races already run

These plays were published and locked before first post on Sat Aug 1, 2026. They are kept exactly as published, wins and losses alike, and are no longer actionable. Prices shown were the qualifying prices at publication.

Every selection we have ever published is graded on the record. The methodology is on the methodology page.

Edge of the Day

6MAGGLES MCGEE

Race 1 · 5 furlongs turf

36%model9/5fair3/1boardWINpaid at the close

Our biggest edge on the card today (+16 pts over the board), the crowd will likely bet it down, so expect a shorter number, so size it smaller. Chosen by rule: the flag with the most value, graded like any other.

Today at Del MarMostly Sunny, 76°F, wind 0 to 10 mph · rain 1%, no off-track flagNWS forecast

Flags 4 of 11 races

New here? How to read a flag · Model, Fair, Board and the pari-mutuel closing rule, explained once.

Today’s plays4 flags

RaceHorseModelBoardEdge

R16Maggles Mcgee36%3/1+16 pts R71Silkie Sevei23%4/1+7 pts R92Owl11%15/1+6 pts R108Seismic Beauty32%5/2+10 pts

Race 1 · 5 furlongs · turf · Maiden special weightFlag

6MAGGLES MCGEE

Model

Fair

Board

36%

9/5

3/1

our win %

break-even

the morning line

▸ WIN BET · paid at the close

Likely bet down A short board price the late money bets down. Still a win play, but expect a shorter number by post, pari-mutuel pays the closing price, so the edge is thinner here. Size it smaller.

Ranks #1 in our power figure blend; closer in a contested-pace setup.

Data · Brisnet

How it sets up

Contested3 of 8 want the lead

Go forward124

Pace helps368

Three of the 8 are entitled to the early lead, so the opening quarter over five furlongs on turf in a maiden special weight should be contested rather than soft.

The model’s read ▾

This is the widest gap on today’s card. When our number is that far clear of the board, the disagreement is the whole reason to be here.

It tops our own win number, 22.9 points clear of the next one, and with 3 of them wanting the front the early fractions should be honest.

3 of the 8 want the front over five furlongs on turf, and this one profiles to come from off it, so we pushed its number up for that (×1.1).

Full field ▾

#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board
6	MAGGLES MCGEE ◀	36%	9/5	3/1
2	SACRED SOUND	13%	13/2	5/2
3	BALAZA	12%	15/2	4/1
4	UNUSUAL EXCHANGE	10%	9/1	10/1
7	SISSY GIRL	10%	9/1	8/1
5	PLATINUM GROOVE	9%	10/1	8/1
8	MIA PIA	5%	20/1	12/1
1	LET IT BEGIN	5%	20/1	8/1

Race 7 · 1 mile · turf · Maiden claiming $50,000Flag

1SILKIE SEVEI

Model

Fair

Board

23%

7/2

4/1

our win %

break-even

the morning line

▸ WIN BET · paid at the close

Likely bet down A short board price the late money bets down. Still a win play, but expect a shorter number by post, pari-mutuel pays the closing price, so the edge is thinner here. Size it smaller.

Ranks #1 in our power figure blend.

Data · Brisnet

How it sets up

Even pace11 going

No one horse is entitled to the lead. A field this size means traffic is the risk in here, not the pace. Nothing in here has shown real early speed on the figures the model reads.

It tops our own win number, 4.1 points clear of the next one, in a race nobody is clearly entitled to lead.

Full field ▾

#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board
1	SILKIE SEVEI ◀	23%	7/2	4/1
3	ZURAYA	18%	9/2	3/1
9	GREYS OVER BAYS	13%	13/2	12/1
10	SENSATIONAL DREAM	13%	7/1	5/1
6	HEAVENLY BELLE	7%	12/1	20/1
5	TONAKITTY	6%	15/1	6/1
2	PRINCESSES PHOEBE	5%	15/1	6/1
7	CHEF KATE	5%	20/1	12/1
8	ICONS ONLY	4%	25/1	8/1
11	UNA MIRADA	3%	30/1	30/1
4	AMOR SECRETO	2%	50/1	30/1

Race 9 · 5 furlongs · turf · Optional claiming $20,000, non-winners of one other than maiden, claiming or starterFlag

2OWL

Model

Fair

Board

11%

8/1

15/1

our win %

break-even

the morning line

▸ WIN BET · paid at the close

Price should hold A long board price the late money tends to leave alone, so you should still get a strong number at post, the fullest version of the edge.

Ranks #2 in our power figure blend.

Data · Brisnet

How it sets up

Contested6 of 11 want the lead

Go forward6

Pace helps124

Six of the 11 are entitled to the early lead, so the opening quarter over five furlongs on turf in a $20,000 allowance optional claimer should be contested rather than soft.

The model’s read ▾

A price play. OWL is not likely on its own, but the board has it longer than we do, and on a horse this price that is where a payout actually lives.

It rates third on our own win number, 8.5 points behind the top, and with 6 of them wanting the front the early fractions should be honest.

6 of the 11 want the front over five furlongs on turf, and this one profiles to come from off it, so we pushed its number up for that (×1.1).

Full field ▾

#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board
3	BALLYVAUGHAN GIG	20%	4/1	3/1
5	SCENE BY ME	12%	15/2	4/1
2	OWL ◀	11%	8/1	15/1
4	JAGUAR JON	10%	9/1	8/1
1	WIKI KANE	9%	10/1	6/1
10	MILES FINCH	9%	10/1	8/1
8	GREY'S BOY	8%	11/1	5/1
9	INSTINCT D' ORO	8%	12/1	12/1
6	NAFTIS	6%	15/1	20/1
7	KERRY GOLD	4%	20/1	15/1
11	CHASE N RYAN	2%	50/1	30/1

Race 10 · 1 1/16 miles · dirt · Grade 1 stakesFlag

8SEISMIC BEAUTY

Model

Fair

Board

32%

2/1

5/2

our win %

break-even

the morning line

▸ WIN BET · paid at the close

Likely bet down A short board price the late money bets down. Still a win play, but expect a shorter number by post, pari-mutuel pays the closing price, so the edge is thinner here. Size it smaller.

Ranks #1 in our power figure blend; projects as the lone early speed.

Data · Brisnet

How it sets up

Lone speedone gets loose on the lead, 9 going

Alone on the lead8

One of the 9 looks alone on the lead, clear of the field on the early figures over a mile and a sixteenth on dirt, with nothing else in here entitled to go with it.

The model’s read ▾

SEISMIC BEAUTY is one of the more likely winners we flag today, and the board still prices it like a longer shot. The gap is smaller in points than some, but it is on a horse we genuinely rate to win.

It tops our own win number, 18.5 points clear of the next one, in a race where one of them looks like getting loose on the lead.

In a field of 9 it profiles as the lone speed over a mile and a sixteenth on dirt, likely uncontested on the front end, and we bumped it for that (×1.15).

Full field ▾

#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board
8	SEISMIC BEAUTY ◀	32%	2/1	5/2
6	SIMPLY JOKING	14%	6/1	5/1
1	CHASTEN	14%	6/1	4/1
5	MAJESTIC OOPS	12%	15/2	9/2
9	EUNOMIA	11%	8/1	5/1
3	OM N JOY	8%	12/1	6/1
4	BANK SHOT	4%	25/1	20/1
2	HEY JESSIE	3%	30/1	20/1
7	A THOUSAND MILES	2%	50/1	30/1

The whole card every runner, our number beside the board

Every runner on the card: our win probability and fair odds beside the morning line, with the edge between them. Sortable by any column.
R	#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board	Edge	Why
R15 furlongs turfMaiden special weightContested pace likely (3 early-speed types)1 flag
R1	6	MAGGLES MCGEE	36%	9/5	3/1	+16	1▲··
R1	2	SACRED SOUND	13%	13/2	5/2	-10	3▼··
R1	3	BALAZA	12%	15/2	4/1	-4	5▲··
R1	4	UNUSUAL EXCHANGE	10%	9/1	10/1	+2	2▼··
R1	7	SISSY GIRL	10%	9/1	8/1	+1	4···
R1	5	PLATINUM GROOVE	9%	10/1	8/1	0	····
R1	8	MIA PIA	5%	20/1	12/1	-1	6▲··
R1	1	LET IT BEGIN	5%	20/1	8/1	-4	7▼··
R25 1/2 furlongs dirtClaiming $10,000Contested pace likely (4 early-speed types)pass
R2	7	POP ROX	19%	9/2	3/1	-1	2▲··
R2	9	LA SCALONETA	18%	9/2	5/1	+5	1▲··
R2	5	MIZ CLUBCALI	14%	6/1	7/2	-3	4···
R2	2	OVETA'S HOBBY	13%	7/1	5/1	-1	3···
R2	3	PERFECT LIFE	9%	10/1	12/1	+3	6▲··
R2	1	ROMAN EMPRESS	9%	10/1	8/1	0	5···
R2	8	ELTONSINGSANOTHER	7%	12/1	8/1	-2	7▼··
R2	4	GIANT KID	6%	15/1	12/1	0	8···
R2	6	RO TOWN	5%	20/1	12/1	-1	9▼··
R35 furlongs turfMaiden special weightEven pacepass
R3	3	BROCKSTER	23%	7/2	5/2	0	····
R3	7	HIGH AMBITION	20%	4/1	3/1	0	1···
R3	5	BLIKSEM	14%	13/2	5/1	0	····
R3	1	COSMIC CHARLIE	12%	15/2	6/1	0	····
R3	2	OCEAN CLUB	11%	15/2	6/1	0	····
R3	4	OFF IN THE CORNER	11%	8/1	6/1	0	····
R3	6	CHAMPAGNE NOVA	9%	10/1	8/1	0	····
R45 furlongs dirtMaiden claiming $20,000Even pacepass
R4	7	KEEPSMESANE	34%	2/1	7/5	+1	1···
R4	9	RED RAIDER	12%	7/1	5/1	-1	····
R4	10	CROSS FEVER	11%	8/1	6/1	0	····
R4	8	ROMANTICON	10%	9/1	8/1	+1	2···
R4	4	SIMPLE MAJORITY	8%	11/1	8/1	-1	3···
R4	5	EXTRAORDINAIRE	7%	12/1	12/1	+1	4···
R4	1	JOHNNY B	6%	15/1	12/1	0	····
R4	2	INCA	5%	15/1	12/1	-1	5···
R4	6	KICKINGIT	3%	30/1	20/1	0	6···
R4	3	IMELDA IS MY LIGHT	2%	30/1	20/1	-1	7···
R51 1/16 miles turfStakes, $150,000 purseEven pacepass
R5	5	OLD PAL	25%	3/1	5/2	+2	1···
R5	7	ON THE WHIM	20%	4/1	7/2	+2	2···
R5	6	MR. DISRESPECTFUL	19%	9/2	3/1	-2	3···
R5	3	PRINCE DOLCE	16%	11/2	4/1	0	4···
R5	1	SANTA BARBARIAN	8%	12/1	12/1	+2	5···
R5	2	NONE ABOVE THE LAW	7%	12/1	6/1	-4	6···
R5	4	BULL SHOALS	5%	20/1	15/1	0	7···
R61 mile dirtClaiming $12,500, non-winners of two lifetimeEven pacepass
R6	4	D DAY SKY	16%	5/1	3/1	-4	3···
R6	5	BIG REFLECTIONS	16%	5/1	4/1	0	1···
R6	7	TROJAN MAFIA	15%	11/2	6/1	+4	2···
R6	8	MILLBO BAGGINS	11%	8/1	5/1	-2	5···
R6	3	SUNSET RIDE	11%	8/1	6/1	-1	4···
R6	6	FORZA AZZURRI	10%	9/1	6/1	-2	6···
R6	1	TYPHOON TOMMY	7%	12/1	12/1	+1	7···
R6	2	AUDIBLE SILENCE	7%	15/1	15/1	+2	8···
R6	9	NOBLE MINDED	6%	15/1	15/1	+1	9···
R71 mile turfMaiden claiming $50,000Even pace1 flag
R7	1	SILKIE SEVEI	23%	7/2	4/1	+7	1···
R7	3	ZURAYA	18%	9/2	3/1	-1	2···
R7	9	GREYS OVER BAYS	13%	13/2	12/1	+7	3···
R7	10	SENSATIONAL DREAM	13%	7/1	5/1	0	4···
R7	6	HEAVENLY BELLE	7%	12/1	20/1	+4	5···
R7	5	TONAKITTY	6%	15/1	6/1	-5	8···
R7	2	PRINCESSES PHOEBE	5%	15/1	6/1	-6	9···
R7	7	CHEF KATE	5%	20/1	12/1	-1	6···
R7	8	ICONS ONLY	4%	25/1	8/1	-5	11···
R7	11	UNA MIRADA	3%	30/1	30/1	+1	7···
R7	4	AMOR SECRETO	2%	50/1	30/1	0	10···
R86 1/2 furlongs dirtOptional claiming $50,000, non-winners of one other than maiden, claiming or starterContested pace likely (6 early-speed types)pass
R8	9	GHOST OF MIDNIGHT	14%	6/1	7/2	-4	3···
R8	4	UNCLE CHILLY	12%	7/1	4/1	-4	8▲··
R8	2	DUKE SILVER	12%	15/2	8/1	+3	1▼··
R8	8	DECISIVE WIN	12%	15/2	8/1	+3	4▲··
R8	7	SEE THROUGH IT	12%	15/2	8/1	+3	2···
R8	1	SAN SABA	9%	10/1	5/1	-4	7▼··
R8	10	SANTARENA	9%	10/1	8/1	0	6···
R8	5	SEPTEMBERSIXTYFOUR	9%	10/1	12/1	+3	5···
R8	3	GENERAL GRAHAM	6%	15/1	20/1	+2	9▲··
R8	6	AHRENS	4%	25/1	10/1	-3	10▼··
R95 furlongs turfOptional claiming $20,000, non-winners of one other than maiden, claiming or starterContested pace likely (6 early-speed types)1 flag
R9	3	BALLYVAUGHAN GIG	20%	4/1	3/1	0	1···
R9	5	SCENE BY ME	12%	15/2	4/1	-4	4···
R9	2	OWL	11%	8/1	15/1	+6	2▲··
R9	4	JAGUAR JON	10%	9/1	8/1	+2	3▲··
R9	1	WIKI KANE	9%	10/1	6/1	-2	8▲··
R9	10	MILES FINCH	9%	10/1	8/1	0	5···
R9	8	GREY'S BOY	8%	11/1	5/1	-5	9···
R9	9	INSTINCT D' ORO	8%	12/1	12/1	+1	6···
R9	6	NAFTIS	6%	15/1	20/1	+2	7▼··
R9	7	KERRY GOLD	4%	20/1	15/1	-1	10···
R9	11	CHASE N RYAN	2%	50/1	30/1	-1	11···
R101 1/16 miles dirtGrade 1 stakesLone speed1 flag
R10	8	SEISMIC BEAUTY	32%	2/1	5/2	+10	1▲··
R10	6	SIMPLY JOKING	14%	6/1	5/1	+1	2···
R10	1	CHASTEN	14%	6/1	4/1	-2	3···
R10	5	MAJESTIC OOPS	12%	15/2	9/2	-2	4···
R10	9	EUNOMIA	11%	8/1	5/1	-2	5···
R10	3	OM N JOY	8%	12/1	6/1	-4	6···
R10	4	BANK SHOT	4%	25/1	20/1	0	7···
R10	2	HEY JESSIE	3%	30/1	20/1	0	8···
R10	7	A THOUSAND MILES	2%	50/1	30/1	0	9···
R111 1/16 miles turfMaiden claiming $50,000Even pacepass
R11	2	LORENZO BERNINI	21%	4/1	4/1	+5	1···
R11	10	TIMAYYYY	18%	9/2	7/2	+1	2···
R11	11	BORN TO ROCK	16%	5/1	5/1	+3	3···
R11	1	FAUSTO	14%	6/1	5/1	+1	4···
R11	9	PLETTENBERG BAY	10%	9/1	8/1	+2	5···
R11	8	PYROKINETIC	6%	15/1	12/1	0	····
R11	7	LIKE AND SUBSCRIBE	5%	20/1	8/1	-4	8···
R11	6	HEAVENLY MATCH	4%	25/1	12/1	-2	7···
R11	12	WAR ARTIST	3%	30/1	20/1	0	6···
R11	5	PERFECTIONACHIEVED	2%	50/1	20/1	-2	9···
R11	3	BLACK PEARL	1%	50/1	20/1	-2	10···

Why reads left to right: rank on our power-figure blend, whether the pace shape helps (▲) or hurts (▼), the barn (B) and the morning (W). Green is positive, red negative, a dot means nothing to say. Model and Fair are ours; Board is the morning line.

Price your own ticket

The exotics builder, the sequence builder and the style ranker all run against this card, 11 races of it, at the real minimum and the real takeout. They live on one page so there is one of each to trust.

Open the builders →

The rest of the card our read on every race: analysis, not a bet

R2Scramble7Pop Rox19%9/23/1

How it sets up

dirtContested4 of 9 want the lead

Go forward68

Pace helps379

An open heat. The top two are effectively level on our numbers. Four horses want the front, so the early fractions should be honest.

Full field ▾

#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board
7	POP ROX	19%	9/2	3/1
9	LA SCALONETA	18%	9/2	5/1
5	MIZ CLUBCALI	14%	6/1	7/2
2	OVETA'S HOBBY	13%	7/1	5/1
3	PERFECT LIFE	9%	10/1	12/1
1	ROMAN EMPRESS	9%	10/1	8/1
8	ELTONSINGSANOTHER	7%	12/1	8/1
4	GIANT KID	6%	15/1	12/1
6	RO TOWN	5%	20/1	12/1

R3Chalk3Brockster23%7/25/2

How it sets up

turfEven pace7 going

The board and our number agree in a maiden special weight. We make the top one 23% against the board's 23%.

Full field ▾

#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board
3	BROCKSTER	23%	7/2	5/2
7	HIGH AMBITION	20%	4/1	3/1
5	BLIKSEM	14%	13/2	5/1
1	COSMIC CHARLIE	12%	15/2	6/1
2	OCEAN CLUB	11%	15/2	6/1
4	OFF IN THE CORNER	11%	8/1	6/1
6	CHAMPAGNE NOVA	9%	10/1	8/1

R4Chalk7Keepsmesane34%2/17/5

How it sets up

dirtEven pace10 going

The board and our number agree in a $20,000 maiden claimer. A full field of ten.

Full field ▾

#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board
7	KEEPSMESANE	34%	2/1	7/5
9	RED RAIDER	12%	7/1	5/1
10	CROSS FEVER	11%	8/1	6/1
8	ROMANTICON	10%	9/1	8/1
4	SIMPLE MAJORITY	8%	11/1	8/1
5	EXTRAORDINAIRE	7%	12/1	12/1
1	JOHNNY B	6%	15/1	12/1
2	INCA	5%	15/1	12/1
6	KICKINGIT	3%	30/1	20/1
3	IMELDA IS MY LIGHT	2%	30/1	20/1

R5Lean5Old Pal25%3/15/2

How it sets up

turfEven pace7 going

Our top-rated horse in a starter allowance. We make the top one 25% against the board's 23%. The edge is real but sits under our bet line at 2 points.

Full field ▾

#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board
5	OLD PAL	25%	3/1	5/2
7	ON THE WHIM	20%	4/1	7/2
6	MR. DISRESPECTFUL	19%	9/2	3/1
3	PRINCE DOLCE	16%	11/2	4/1
1	SANTA BARBARIAN	8%	12/1	12/1
2	NONE ABOVE THE LAW	7%	12/1	6/1
4	BULL SHOALS	5%	20/1	15/1

R6Scramble4D Day Sky16%5/13/1

How it sets up

dirtEven pace9 going

An open heat. The top two are effectively level on our numbers. We make the top one 16% against the board's 20%.

Full field ▾

#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board
4	D DAY SKY	16%	5/1	3/1
5	BIG REFLECTIONS	16%	5/1	4/1
7	TROJAN MAFIA	15%	11/2	6/1
8	MILLBO BAGGINS	11%	8/1	5/1
3	SUNSET RIDE	11%	8/1	6/1
6	FORZA AZZURRI	10%	9/1	6/1
1	TYPHOON TOMMY	7%	12/1	12/1
2	AUDIBLE SILENCE	7%	15/1	15/1
9	NOBLE MINDED	6%	15/1	15/1

R8Scramble9Ghost Of Midnight14%6/17/2

How it sets up

dirtContested6 of 10 want the lead

Go forward126

Pace helps348

A full field of ten. Nothing separates the top two by more than 1.6 points. Six horses want the front, so the early fractions should be honest.

Full field ▾

#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board
9	GHOST OF MIDNIGHT	14%	6/1	7/2
4	UNCLE CHILLY	12%	7/1	4/1
2	DUKE SILVER	12%	15/2	8/1
8	DECISIVE WIN	12%	15/2	8/1
7	SEE THROUGH IT	12%	15/2	8/1
1	SAN SABA	9%	10/1	5/1
10	SANTARENA	9%	10/1	8/1
5	SEPTEMBERSIXTYFOUR	9%	10/1	12/1
3	GENERAL GRAHAM	6%	15/1	20/1
6	AHRENS	4%	25/1	10/1

R11Lean2Lorenzo Bernini21%4/14/1

How it sets up

turfEven pace11 going

Our top-rated horse in a $50,000 maiden claimer. We make the top one 21% against the board's 16%. The edge is real but sits under our bet line at 5 points.

Full field ▾

#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board
2	LORENZO BERNINI	21%	4/1	4/1
10	TIMAYYYY	18%	9/2	7/2
11	BORN TO ROCK	16%	5/1	5/1
1	FAUSTO	14%	6/1	5/1
9	PLETTENBERG BAY	10%	9/1	8/1
8	PYROKINETIC	6%	15/1	12/1
7	LIKE AND SUBSCRIBE	5%	20/1	8/1
6	HEAVENLY MATCH	4%	25/1	12/1
12	WAR ARTIST	3%	30/1	20/1
5	PERFECTIONACHIEVED	2%	50/1	20/1
3	BLACK PEARL	1%	50/1	20/1

Model v0-heuristic-1.4 · cfg aab788cb · code 9abc29fc · takeout (DMR) win 15.43% / exacta 22.68% · card SHA-256 e8e8657c2f94… · Scratch status checked at 9:46 AM ET. Late scratches void at scoring; the card is never edited.

This card was produced under the methodology version identified at publication. Detailed implementation parameters are proprietary and are no longer displayed. The original selections, probabilities, prices, timestamps, grading and integrity evidence are unchanged, and the locked card file below is the original. How to read this card · the method in full · every call graded

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Downloadable artifact hash	`e8e8657c2f9469d279e34dc2eaf4884c55f62905fda09d1a17ae005180e6f5ba`
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